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SNDXSyndax Pharmaceuticals, Inc.Sell5.1·$18.41+2.16%
SNDX · Why this verdict

Why Syndax Pharmaceuticals (SNDX) is rated SELL

Updated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

VerdictSELL
Overall score5.1/10
ConfidenceMEDIUM
MacroNEUTRAL

Per-dimension breakdown

Value

7.6/10data confidence 33%
ComponentSub-score
P/S5.5
Analyst target9.0
  • Attractively valued

Quality

2.5/10data confidence 86%
ComponentSub-score
ROA0.0
Op margin0.0
Current ratio7.5
FCF quality0.0
Moat4.2
Piotroski F3.3
  • Cash-burning: FCF -86% of revenue
  • No competitive moat
  • Weak Piotroski F-Score: 3/9
  • Quality concerns

Growth

5.0/10data confidence 50%

Momentum

2.8/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
RSI3.0
MACD1.0
OBV1.0
MA position2.2
Volume6.9
  • Capitulation risk (RSI 21, below 200MA)
  • Volume distribution (falling OBV)
  • Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+7.2%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness

Sentiment

8.8/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
LLM sentiment8.2
Analyst rating8.4
Price target10.0
  • LLM news sentiment: +0.63 (n=3)
  • Analyst upside: 126%

Insider

5.0/10data confidence 50%
ComponentSub-score
materiality5.0
holder change5.0
  • Insider selling (low materiality) — $152,376 (0.010% of mkt cap)

Peer rank

3.9/10data confidence 80%
ComponentSub-score
value rank6.1
quality rank0.0
growth rank9.5
  • Industry growth leader

Technical

7.6/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
bollinger10.0
support resistance9.2
52w position3.6

Risk (lower is worse)

2.1/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
short interest1.0
days to cover0.0
volatility0.6
put call2.9
implied vol0.0
beta10.0
debt equity0.0
  • High short interest justified: 25%
  • Elevated put/call: 1.56
  • High IV: 115%
  • Concentration risks: 2 HIGH (10-K Item 1A — sized via position_sizing, validated via buy_confidence)

Catalyst

5.3/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
erm5.0
earnings history6.7
earnings timing5.0
surprise avg2.9
news activity7.0
  • Strong earnings: 3B/1M

How the verdict was assembled

Engine trigger

Quality below minimum threshold.

Engine technical detail
verdict_path: L1:HARD_BLOCK
Passed (6)
  • ASYMMETRY:10.2>=1.5
  • INSIDER:OK
  • 8K:CLEAN
  • EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:57d clear
  • SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
  • MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (1)
  • MOMENTUM:2.8<4.5
Warning (0)

none

Reward-to-Risk
10.18
Upside
+96.9%
Downside
9.5%
Sizing output
AVOID

SetupOVERSOLD_BOUNCE Oversold RSI 21, near Bollinger lower, volume surge

EdgeNO_EDGE No clear edge identified

SuitabilityAGGRESSIVE MCap $1.5B<$5B

Investment implication

The L1 gate blocked the positive-verdict path: a hard-floor threshold was breached, so dimensional pillars — including Sentiment at 8.8 could not lift the engine output above the verdict floor. Failed gate signal: MOMENTUM:2.8<4.5.

The strongest dimensions are Sentiment at 8.8, Value at 7.6, and Technical at 7.6; the weakest are Risk (lower is worse) at 2.1, Quality at 2.5, and Momentum at 2.8. The V9 engine flagged 1 failed gate, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of 10.18 and an engine sizing output of AVOID.

Engine reasoning is mechanically derived from pipeline gate outputs. See decision view.

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