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SNAPSnap Inc.Sell5.2·$5.26-1.31%
SNAP · Why this verdict

Why Snap (SNAP) is rated SELL

Updated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

VerdictSELL
Overall score5.2/10
ConfidenceMEDIUM
MacroNEUTRAL

Per-dimension breakdown

Value

9.5/10data confidence 67%
ComponentSub-score
P/S9.4
Fwd P/E9.7
PEG10.0
Analyst target9.0
  • Forward P/E: 7.1x
  • PEG: 0.02
  • Attractively valued

Quality

3.9/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
ROE0.0
ROA0.0
Gross margin7.2
Op margin0.0
Net margin0.0
Current ratio9.5
FCF quality6.0
Moat5.8
Piotroski F6.7
  • FCF-positive but moderate margins (FCF margin 11%, FCF yield 7.7%)

Growth

5.5/10data confidence 33%
ComponentSub-score
Rev growth5.5

Momentum

2.1/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
RSI3.5
MACD2.6
OBV1.0
MA position1.0
Volume2.3
  • Volume distribution (falling OBV)
  • Below 200-MA, MA slope -5.7%/30d — confirmed downtrend

Sentiment

6.3/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
LLM sentiment4.8
Analyst rating5.0
Price target9.4
  • Analyst upside: 45%

Insider

3.4/10data confidence 75%
ComponentSub-score
materiality3.0
insider conviction2.0
holder change5.1
  • Notable insider selling — $32,214,568 (0.370% of mkt cap)

Peer rank

3.1/10data confidence 80%
ComponentSub-score
value rank5.8
quality rank1.2
growth rank5.4

Technical

6.2/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
bollinger10.0
support resistance8.6
52w position0.1

Risk (lower is worse)

4.5/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
short interest4.8
days to cover8.3
volatility0.0
put call5.2
implied vol1.1
max pain risk7.0
beta6.9
debt equity3.0
  • High IV: 73%
  • Concentration risks: 2 HIGH (10-K Item 1A — sized via position_sizing, validated via buy_confidence)

Catalyst

6.3/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
erm5.0
earnings history5.6
earnings timing5.0
surprise avg10.0
news activity6.0

How the verdict was assembled

Engine trigger

Quality below minimum threshold.

Engine technical detail
verdict_path: L1:HARD_BLOCK
Passed (5)
  • ASYMMETRY:3.0>=1.5
  • INSIDER:OK
  • EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:52d clear
  • SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
  • MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (3)
  • MOMENTUM:2.1<4.5
  • DEATH_CROSS:HARD_BLOCK
  • 8K_SERIOUS:2.05
Warning (0)

none

Reward-to-Risk
3.05
Upside
+33.4%
Downside
11.0%
Sizing output
AVOID

SetupFALLING_KNIFE Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 37, MACD bearish

EdgeNO_EDGE No clear edge identified

SuitabilityMODERATE Balanced profile

Investment implication

The L1 gate blocked the positive-verdict path: a hard-floor threshold was breached, so dimensional pillars — including Value at 9.5 could not lift the engine output above the verdict floor. Failed gate signal: MOMENTUM:2.1<4.5.

The strongest dimensions are Value at 9.5, Sentiment at 6.3, and Catalyst at 6.3; the weakest are Momentum at 2.1, Peer rank at 3.1, and Insider at 3.4. The V9 engine flagged 3 failed gates, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of 3.05 and an engine sizing output of AVOID.

Engine reasoning is mechanically derived from pipeline gate outputs. See decision view.

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