Sprouts Farmers Market (SFM) Q3 2026 earnings — TrendMatrix coverage
Reported
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Full disclosure · Editorial policy
Key numbers
- Adjusted EPS
- $1.21
- Estimate
- $1.23
- Surprise
- -1.4%
- Revenue (period 2026-09-27)
- $2.30B
- Score at report (before → after)
- 5.4 → 5.4/10
Revenue source: xbrl.
How the report landed
Sprouts Farmers Market (SFM) missed the $1.23 estimate with adjusted EPS of $1.21 — a modest 1.4% shortfall. TrendMatrix's engine moved from Buy (Wait) (5.4/10) to Hold at 5.4/10 after the report.
Where TrendMatrix's rating stands now
TrendMatrix currently rates SFM Hold at 5.4/10.
3 of the last 4 quarters beat the estimate; this quarter's -1.4% surprise compares with a +1.6% four-quarter average.
What supports the rating
- Sector modifier (Consumer Defensive): +0.8
- Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
What argues against it
- Concentration risk — Supplier: KeHE (52.0%)
- Leverage penalty (D/E 1.4): -0.5
- Weak growth
This section and the ones below it reflect TrendMatrix’s latest engine read — they update after the report date and are not frozen to it.
The levels TrendMatrix's engine tracks
- Current price
- $62.00
- Price target
- $79.05
- Stop
- $58.66
- Upside to target
- +27.5%
- Reward-to-risk
- 2.8:1
At 11.9× trailing and 10.5× forward earnings, consensus estimates imply little change in earnings power.
Risk check: trading volume is running 2.7× its average — elevated turnover around the report window.
Model outputs from TrendMatrix’s engine as of 2026-10-29 — shown for context, not personalized investment advice.
SFM at TrendMatrix's latest read
Defensive staples are judged on margin resilience: pricing power against input costs matters more here than top-line drama.
- Industry
- Grocery Stores
- Market cap
- $5.78B
- P/E (fwd)
- 10.5
- P/E (ttm)
- 11.9
- 52-week range
- $60.47–$106.04
- Off 52-week high
- 41.5%
- RSI (14)
- 40
- Volume vs avg
- 2.72×
- Score today
- 5.4/10