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SCHLScholastic CorporationHold5.0·$45.27+0.02%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Scholastic's earnings beat streak and imminent catalyst are offset by declining revenue, an elevated growth-adjusted valuation, and a notably negative risk-adjusted asymmetry ratio, consistent with a call to consider reducing the position.

Thesis pillars

  • Earnings Catalyst With Beat StreakStable
  • Declining RevenueStable
  • Elevated Valuation Vs GrowthStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Scholastic Corporation (SCHL) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup · Catalyst-Driven edge

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5ValueQualityShortModerate Confidence

Communication Services · Publishing

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $45.27, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Weak overall score: 5.0/10.

Scholastic Corporation (the "Corporation" and together with its subsidiaries, "Scholastic" or the "Company") is the world's largest publisher and distributor of children's books, a leading provider of print and digital instructional materials for grades pre-kindergarten... Read more

$45.27+4.1% A.UpsideScore 5.0/10#4 of 6 Publishing
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield13.64%
IncomeYield1.72%(5y avg 2.30%)Payout33.20%sustainable
Stop $42.37Target $47.11(resistance)A.R:R -2.5:1
Analyst target$41.00-9.4%2 analysts
$47.11our TP
$45.27price
$41.00mean
$40
$47

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $45.27, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Weak overall score: 5.0/10. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 68, MACD bullish. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +2 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 16d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-08

Recent Developments — Scholastic Corporation

Generated 2026-07-08T23:03:59Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Jul 23, 202616d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Positive news sentiment (+0.67)
Positive insider activity
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Weak overall score: 5.0/10
Weak growth

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)19.2
P/E (Fwd)17.3
Mkt Cap$853M
EV/EBITDA14.7
Profit Mgn3.9%
ROE6.9%
Rev Growth-1.9%
Beta0.99
Dividend1.72%
Rating analysts6

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C0.67bullish
IV63%elevated
Max Pain$35-22.7% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Revenue shrinking — -1.9% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
2.0
Earnings Growth
4.2
Declining revenue: -2%
GatesA.R:R -2.5=NEGATIVEMomentum 4.8<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 4.8>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 16d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
68 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $41.05Resistance $48.07

Price Targets

$42
$47
A.Upside+4.1%
A.R:R-2.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-23.0% upside)
! NEWS_MOD=+2: SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-23 (16d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SCHL stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $45.27, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Weak overall score: 5.0/10. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 68, MACD bullish. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +2 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Target $47.11 (+4.1%), stop $42.37 (−6.8%), A.R:R -2.5:1. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the SCHL stock price target?

Take-profit target: $47.11 (+4.1% upside). Target $47.11 (+4.1%), stop $42.37 (−6.8%), A.R:R -2.5:1. Stop-loss: $42.37.

What are the risks of investing in SCHL?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Weak overall score: 5.0/10; Weak growth.

Is SCHL overvalued or undervalued?

Scholastic Corporation trades at a P/E of 19.2 (forward 17.3). TrendMatrix value score: 6.3/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about SCHL?

6 analysts cover SCHL with a consensus score of 2.2/5. Average price target: $41.

What does Scholastic Corporation do?Scholastic Corporation (the "Corporation" and together with its subsidiaries, "Scholastic" or the "Company") is the...

Scholastic Corporation (the "Corporation" and together with its subsidiaries, "Scholastic" or the "Company") is the world's largest publisher and distributor of children's books, a leading provider of print and digital instructional materials for grades pre-kindergarten ("pre-K") to grade 12 and a producer of entertaining literary and educational children's media.

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