Value
5.8/10data confidence 67%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| P/S | 6.4 |
| EV/EBITDA | 2.5 |
| p ocf | 7.7 |
| Analyst target | 6.0 |
- ▸P/OCF: 12.7x (FFO proxy — REITs gated off P/E)
SBRA · Why this verdict
Why Sabra Health Care REIT (SBRA) is rated SELL
Updated
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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VerdictSELL
Overall score6.1/10
ConfidenceMEDIUM
MacroRISK_OFF
Per-dimension breakdown
Quality
7.3/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| ROE | 1.9 |
| ROA | 2.1 |
| Gross margin | 8.7 |
| Op margin | 10.0 |
| Net margin | 9.6 |
| Current ratio | 8.9 |
| FCF quality | 9.2 |
| Moat | 6.4 |
| Piotroski F | 8.9 |
- ▸Strong margins: 19%
- ▸Excellent cash conversion: 127% FCF/NI
- ▸Strong Piotroski F-Score: 8/9
Growth
6.8/10data confidence 67%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Rev growth | 7.9 |
| EPS growth | 5.6 |
- ▸Strong growth: 22% YoY
Momentum
4.1/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| RSI | 3.0 |
| MACD | 0.0 |
| OBV | 1.0 |
| MA position | 2.2 |
| Volume | 10.0 |
| vol acceleration | 8.2 |
- ▸Capitulation risk (RSI 27, below 200MA)
- ▸Volume distribution (falling OBV)
- ▸Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+2.3%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness
- ▸Volume surge (2.1x avg) on up move
Sentiment
6.9/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| LLM sentiment | 5.6 |
| Analyst rating | 7.2 |
| Price target | 8.0 |
- ▸Analyst upside: 23%
Insider
5.0/10data confidence 50%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| materiality | 5.0 |
| holder change | 5.1 |
- ▸Insider selling (low materiality) — $302,488 (0.006% of mkt cap)
Peer rank
6.1/10data confidence 80%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| value rank | 5.6 |
| quality rank | 6.2 |
| growth rank | 7.7 |
Technical
7.9/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| bollinger | 8.8 |
| support resistance | 7.5 |
| 52w position | 7.3 |
Risk (lower is worse)
3.0/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| short interest | 1.4 |
| days to cover | 0.0 |
| volatility | 5.4 |
| put call | 0.0 |
| implied vol | 0.0 |
| beta | 9.2 |
| debt equity | 5.2 |
- ▸High short interest: 17%
- ▸Elevated put/call: 2.80
- ▸High IV: 86%
- ▸Concentration risks: 1 HIGH (10-K Item 1A — sized via position_sizing, validated via buy_confidence)
Catalyst
6.5/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| erm | 5.0 |
| earnings history | 10.0 |
| earnings timing | 5.0 |
| surprise avg | 7.4 |
| dividend safety | 3.5 |
| news activity | 8.0 |
- ▸Yield trap warning: high yield but unsafe
How the verdict was assembled
Engine trigger
Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position.
Engine technical detail
verdict_path:
L4:PATH_F_SELLPassed (6)
- INSIDER:OK
- 8K:CLEAN
- NEWS_BOOST:ANALYST:0.80
- EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:57d clear
- SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
- MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (2)
- MOMENTUM:4.1<4.5
- ASYMMETRY:1.3<1.5@spot
Warning (0)
none
Reward-to-Risk
1.29
Upside
+7.3%
Downside
5.7%
Sizing output
AVOID
SetupOVERSOLD_BOUNCE — Oversold RSI 27, near Bollinger lower, volume surge
EdgeNO_EDGE — No clear edge identified
SuitabilityAGGRESSIVE — MCap $4.7B<$5B
Investment implication
The F-path SELL output reflects an overall score of 5.1 below the 5.6 soft trigger — multiple weakening dimensions accumulated rather than a single hard-floor breach. The strongest dimension ( Technical at 7.9) was not enough to lift the adjusted overall above the threshold. Co-occurring failed gates ( MOMENTUM:4.1<4.5, ASYMMETRY:1.3<1.5@spot) reinforce the read. Current asymmetry R:R is 1.29 — supplementary context, not the trigger for this path.
The strongest dimensions are Technical at 7.9, Quality at 7.3, and Sentiment at 6.9; the weakest are Risk (lower is worse) at 3.0, Momentum at 4.1, and Insider at 5.0. The V9 engine flagged 2 failed gates, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of 1.29 and an engine sizing output of AVOID.