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RUMRumble Inc.Sell3.5·$7.84+3.43%
RUM · Why this verdict

Why Rumble (RUM) is rated SELL

Updated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

VerdictSELL
Overall score3.5/10
ConfidenceHIGH
MacroNEUTRAL

Per-dimension breakdown

Value

0.0/10data confidence 20%
ComponentSub-score
P/S0.0
  • Expensive valuation

Quality

2.9/10data confidence 86%
ComponentSub-score
ROE0.0
ROA0.0
Current ratio8.3
FCF quality0.0
Moat4.4
Piotroski F4.4
  • Cash-burning: FCF -28% of revenue
  • No competitive moat
  • Quality concerns

Growth

4.3/10data confidence 33%
ComponentSub-score
Rev growth4.3

Momentum

2.7/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
RSI5.5
MACD0.4
OBV1.0
MA position5.0
Volume1.5
  • Volume distribution (falling OBV)
  • Above 200-MA but MA slope flat

Sentiment

7.5/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
LLM sentiment8.1
Analyst rating5.0
Price target10.0
  • LLM news sentiment: +0.62 (n=6)
  • Analyst upside: 180%

Insider

5.1/10data confidence 50%
ComponentSub-score
materiality5.0
holder change5.2
  • No net insider activity — $0 (0.000% of mkt cap)

Peer rank

3.0/10data confidence 80%
ComponentSub-score
value rank0.4
quality rank0.0
growth rank4.2

Technical

5.7/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
bollinger6.3
support resistance7.2
52w position4.3
gap5.0

Risk (lower is worse)

3.1/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
short interest1.3
days to cover4.0
volatility0.0
put call0.0
implied vol0.0
beta6.7
debt equity7.2
news risk5.5
  • High short interest justified: 22%
  • Elevated put/call: 2.71
  • High IV: 127%

Catalyst

3.6/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
erm5.0
earnings history0.0
earnings timing5.0
surprise avg0.0
news activity8.0
  • Earnings concerns: 0B/3M

How the verdict was assembled

Engine trigger

Quality below minimum threshold.

Engine technical detail
verdict_path: L1:HARD_BLOCK
Passed (5)
  • ASYMMETRY:9.2>=1.5
  • INSIDER:OK
  • EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:67d clear
  • SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
  • MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (1)
  • MOMENTUM:2.7<4.5
Warning (1)
  • 8K_CSUITE_CHANGE:5.02 (officer departure/appointment)
Reward-to-Risk
9.17
Upside
+137.6%
Downside
15.0%
Sizing output
AVOID

SetupRANGE_BOUND RSI 53 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band

EdgeNO_EDGE No clear edge identified

SuitabilityAGGRESSIVE MCap $1.6B<$5B

Investment implication

The L1 gate blocked the positive-verdict path: a hard-floor threshold was breached, so dimensional pillars — including Sentiment at 7.5 could not lift the engine output above the verdict floor. Failed gate signal: MOMENTUM:2.7<4.5.

The strongest dimensions are Sentiment at 7.5, Technical at 5.7, and Insider at 5.1; the weakest are Value at 0.0, Momentum at 2.7, and Quality at 2.9. The V9 engine flagged 1 failed gate with 1 warning, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of 9.17 and an engine sizing output of AVOID.

Engine reasoning is mechanically derived from pipeline gate outputs. See decision view.

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