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RMTRoyce Micro-Cap Trust, Inc.Hold6.4·$13.09
RMT · Decision

Should you buy Royce Micro-Cap Trust (RMT)?

Updated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Verdict
HOLD
Score
6.4/10
Price
$13.09
Entry / Take Profit (TP) / Stop Loss (SL)
— / $13.66 / $12.61

Engine methodology range

Range computation requires sufficient peer-comparable data; available for tickers with peer_count ≥3.

What the engine is tracking

  • Best In Class Valuation→Stable
  • High Roe Wide Moat→Stable
  • Weak Cash Conversion Margin→Stable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

→ Full pillar scorecard with all 5 pillars + per-dimension breakdown

When this thesis breaks

Falsifiable conditions per pillar — any one trip warrants review independent of price action. Engine-derived; not personalized advice.

Falsifying conditions — when triggered, the corresponding pillar's thesis is invalidated.

  • P1High Roe Wide Moat

    Trip ifROE falls below 20% from the current 52%.

  • P2Weak Cash Conversion Margin

    Trip ifThe quality score falls below 3.5 from the current 4.3.

  • P3Best In Class Valuation

    Trip ifThe peer rank score falls below 6.0 from the current 8.7.

  • P4Pullback In Uptrend

    Trip ifThe momentum score falls below 3.0 from the current 4.1.

  • P5Yield Trap Dividend Risk

    Trip ifThe dividend safety score falls below 3.0 from the current 4.3.

How the engine reached this verdict

1. Direct answer

TrendMatrix's engine output for Royce Micro-Cap Trust, Inc. (RMT) is HOLD_IF_HOLDING with medium conviction, score 6.4/10 at $13.09. None of the engine's positive-conviction paths (C-quality, D-momentum) cleared their gates — the F-path HOLD reflects balanced signals rather than directional conviction.

2. What would change the verdict

Royce Micro-Cap Trust, Inc. (RMT) sits at overall score 6.4/10 with no actively-failing gates (strongest-cleared: MOMENTUM:6.2>=5.5). HOLD flips toward BUY_WAIT when a positive-conviction path (C-quality or D-momentum) triggers; toward SELL when any of the currently-passing gates drop below threshold or three+ dimensions fall below 4 simultaneously.

3. Entry, target, and stop

The engine is not issuing fresh-money entry targets at the current verdict. The technical entry zone is around — with a technical stop near $12.61 for existing positions. Asymmetric R:R is 0.00, below the threshold (≥2.0) at which the engine would actively flag fresh capital. The engine's sizing output: AVOID at this asymmetry level (no fresh-capital deployment).

4. What the engine sees

On the bull side: Sector modifier (Financial Services): +1.0; Attractive valuation; Outperforming peers. On the bear side: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.3); Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin -75.5%), Negative free cash flow.

For the full 10-dimension breakdown + V9 gate detail: Why TrendMatrix rates RMT — 10-dimension breakdown →

Bull case

  • ▸Sector modifier (Financial Services): +1.0
  • ▸Attractive valuation
  • ▸Outperforming peers

Bear case

  • ▸V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.3)
  • ▸Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin -75.5%), Negative free cash flow
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