Value
4.9/10data confidence 67%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| P/S | 9.5 |
| EV/EBITDA | 4.6 |
| p ocf | 9.3 |
| Analyst target | 3.0 |
- ▸P/OCF: 6.4x (FFO proxy — REITs gated off P/E)
RLJ · Why this verdict
Why RLJ Lodging Trust (RLJ) is rated SELL
Updated
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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VerdictSELL
Overall score4.6/10
ConfidenceMEDIUM
MacroNEUTRAL
Per-dimension breakdown
Quality
3.3/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| ROE | 0.4 |
| ROA | 1.1 |
| Gross margin | 1.4 |
| Op margin | 3.3 |
| Net margin | 0.9 |
| Current ratio | 2.8 |
| FCF quality | 10.0 |
| Moat | 3.8 |
| Piotroski F | 5.6 |
- ▸Excellent cash conversion: 787% FCF/NI
- ▸No competitive moat
Growth
3.4/10data confidence 33%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Rev growth | 3.4 |
Momentum
6.7/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| RSI | 3.7 |
| MACD | 7.8 |
| OBV | 10.0 |
| MA position | 9.0 |
| Volume | 2.8 |
- ▸Overbought (RSI 87)
- ▸Volume accumulation (rising OBV)
- ▸Above 200-day MA
Sentiment
4.2/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| LLM sentiment | 4.1 |
| Analyst rating | 5.0 |
| Price target | 3.3 |
- ▸Below analyst target
Insider
5.0/10data confidence 50%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| materiality | 5.0 |
| holder change | 5.1 |
- ▸No net insider activity — $0 (0.000% of mkt cap)
Peer rank
5.1/10data confidence 80%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| value rank | 7.8 |
| quality rank | 2.2 |
| growth rank | 5.6 |
Technical
3.6/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| bollinger | 0.5 |
| support resistance | 0.5 |
| 52w position | 9.8 |
Risk (lower is worse)
5.6/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| short interest | 3.5 |
| days to cover | 6.0 |
| volatility | 5.6 |
| put call | 10.0 |
| implied vol | 3.0 |
| beta | 6.4 |
| debt equity | 4.9 |
- ▸High IV: 62%
Catalyst
6.6/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| erm | 3.5 |
| earnings history | 10.0 |
| earnings timing | 5.0 |
| surprise avg | 10.0 |
| dividend safety | 5.2 |
| news activity | 6.0 |
- ▸Strong earnings: 3B/0M
- ▸Dividend: 566.0%
How the verdict was assembled
Engine trigger
Quality below minimum threshold.
Engine technical detail
verdict_path:
L1:HARD_BLOCKPassed (6)
- MOMENTUM:6.7>=5.5
- INSIDER:OK
- 8K:CLEAN
- EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:59d clear
- SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
- MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (1)
- ASYMMETRY:-1.5=NEGATIVE
Warning (0)
none
Reward-to-Risk
-1.53
Upside
-23.0%
Downside
15.0%
Sizing output
AVOID
SetupUNKNOWN — No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed
EdgeNO_EDGE — No clear edge identified
SuitabilityAGGRESSIVE — MCap $1.6B<$5B
Investment implication
The L1 gate blocked the positive-verdict path: a hard-floor threshold was breached, so dimensional pillars — including Momentum at 6.7 could not lift the engine output above the verdict floor. Failed gate signal: ASYMMETRY:-1.5=NEGATIVE.
The strongest dimensions are Momentum at 6.7, Catalyst at 6.6, and Risk (lower is worse) at 5.6; the weakest are Quality at 3.3, Growth at 3.4, and Technical at 3.6. The V9 engine flagged 1 failed gate, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of -1.53 and an engine sizing output of AVOID.