Value
7.1/10data confidence 83%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| P/S | 9.2 |
| EV/EBITDA | 7.4 |
| Fwd P/E | 6.0 |
| PEG | 10.0 |
| Analyst target | 3.0 |
- ▸Forward P/E: 21.4x
- ▸PEG: 0.20
- ▸Attractively valued
RIG · Why this verdict
Why Transocean Ltd (Switzerland) (RIG) is rated SELL
Updated
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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VerdictSELL
Overall score5.7/10
ConfidenceMEDIUM
MacroRISK_OFF
Per-dimension breakdown
Quality
4.9/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| ROE | 0.0 |
| ROA | 2.3 |
| Gross margin | 4.4 |
| Op margin | 10.0 |
| Net margin | 0.0 |
| Current ratio | 5.6 |
| FCF quality | 6.0 |
| Moat | 5.8 |
| Piotroski F | 10.0 |
- ▸FCF-positive but moderate margins (FCF margin 26%, FCF yield 16.5%)
- ▸Strong Piotroski F-Score: 9/9
Growth
8.7/10data confidence 67%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Rev growth | 7.3 |
| EPS growth | 10.0 |
Momentum
3.2/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| RSI | 8.7 |
| MACD | 2.5 |
| OBV | 1.0 |
| MA position | 4.0 |
| Volume | 0.0 |
- ▸Oversold in uptrend (RSI 19)
- ▸Volume distribution (falling OBV)
- ▸Above 200-day MA
Sentiment
5.3/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Analyst rating | 5.0 |
| Price target | 5.2 |
| erm sentiment | 5.9 |
Insider
5.1/10data confidence 50%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| materiality | 5.0 |
| holder change | 5.2 |
- ▸Insider selling (low materiality) — $608,970 (0.009% of mkt cap)
Peer rank
4.3/10data confidence 80%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| value rank | 3.3 |
| quality rank | 0.0 |
| growth rank | 8.9 |
- ▸Industry growth leader
Technical
6.6/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| bollinger | 7.0 |
| support resistance | 8.2 |
| 52w position | 6.2 |
| gap | 5.0 |
Risk (lower is worse)
3.7/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| short interest | 1.3 |
| days to cover | 4.1 |
| volatility | 0.6 |
| put call | 6.0 |
| implied vol | 1.3 |
| max pain risk | 3.0 |
| beta | 5.9 |
| debt equity | 7.1 |
- ▸High short interest justified: 22%
- ▸High IV: 72%
- ▸Above max pain $1
Catalyst
5.7/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| erm | 6.5 |
| earnings history | 3.3 |
| earnings timing | 5.0 |
| surprise avg | 8.0 |
- ▸Earnings concerns: 2B/2M
How the verdict was assembled
Engine trigger
Mixed signals. Hold existing position. | News modifier -1 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → SELL_IF_HOLDING).
Engine technical detail
verdict_path:
L4:PATH_F_HOLD_DEFAULT|L3:NEWS_MOD=-1Passed (6)
- INSIDER:OK
- 8K:CLEAN
- NEWS_EVENTS:NONE_RECENT
- EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:56d clear
- SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
- MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (2)
- MOMENTUM:3.2<4.5
- ASYMMETRY:-1.2=NEGATIVE
Warning (0)
none
Reward-to-Risk
-1.22
Upside
-11.7%
Downside
9.5%
Sizing output
AVOID
SetupUNKNOWN — No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed
EdgeNO_EDGE — No clear edge identified
SuitabilityMODERATE — Balanced profile
Investment implication
The default F-path HOLD fired without any positive-conviction gate triggering — no momentum acceleration, no quality+value crossover, no setup recognition. Highest-clear gate: INSIDER:OK. Top dim: Growth at 8.7; weakest: Momentum at 3.2. The engine's read is one of pattern absence — no directional conviction in either direction at current asymmetry.
The strongest dimensions are Growth at 8.7, Value at 7.1, and Technical at 6.6; the weakest are Momentum at 3.2, Risk (lower is worse) at 3.7, and Peer rank at 4.3. The V9 engine flagged 2 failed gates, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of -1.22 and an engine sizing output of AVOID.