Value
6.7/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| P/E | 6.8 |
| P/S | 7.8 |
| EV/EBITDA | 4.8 |
| Fwd P/E | 8.3 |
| PEG | 7.4 |
| Analyst target | 5.0 |
- ▸Forward P/E: 14.0x
- ▸PEG: 0.93
QGEN · Why this verdict
Why Qiagen (QGEN) is rated SELL
Updated
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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VerdictSELL
Overall score5.3/10
ConfidenceMEDIUM
MacroNEUTRAL
Per-dimension breakdown
Quality
6.9/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| ROE | 4.0 |
| ROA | 4.0 |
| Gross margin | 9.2 |
| Op margin | 9.5 |
| Net margin | 9.6 |
| Current ratio | 9.8 |
| FCF quality | 4.6 |
| Moat | 6.0 |
| Rule of 40 | 3.0 |
| Piotroski F | 8.9 |
- ▸Strong margins: 19%
- ▸Earnings quality warning: 59% FCF/NI
- ▸Rule of 40: 13 (fail)
- ▸Strong Piotroski F-Score: 8/9
Growth
1.4/10data confidence 67%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Rev growth | 2.9 |
| EPS growth | 0.0 |
Momentum
6.5/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| RSI | 3.9 |
| MACD | 10.0 |
| OBV | 10.0 |
| MA position | 6.0 |
| Volume | 2.5 |
- ▸Volume accumulation (rising OBV)
- ▸Below 200-MA, MA slope -3.9%/30d — confirmed downtrend
Sentiment
6.7/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Analyst rating | 7.2 |
| Price target | 7.5 |
| erm sentiment | 4.8 |
Insider
5.0/10data confidence 50%Peer rank
3.9/10data confidence 80%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| value rank | 8.2 |
| quality rank | 7.1 |
| growth rank | 0.4 |
- ▸Attractive P/E vs peers
Technical
3.4/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| bollinger | 2.9 |
| support resistance | 2.0 |
| 52w position | 2.8 |
| gap | 6.0 |
Risk (lower is worse)
7.6/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| short interest | 8.4 |
| days to cover | 8.4 |
| volatility | 6.0 |
| put call | 9.8 |
| implied vol | 3.5 |
| beta | 9.1 |
| debt equity | 8.0 |
Catalyst
5.8/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| erm | 5.0 |
| earnings history | 10.0 |
| earnings timing | 5.0 |
| surprise avg | 3.1 |
| dividend safety | 6.0 |
- ▸Dividend: 94.0%
How the verdict was assembled
Engine trigger
Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position.
Engine technical detail
verdict_path:
L4:PATH_F_SELLPassed (7)
- MOMENTUM:6.5>=5.5
- INSIDER:OK
- 8K:CLEAN
- NEWS_EVENTS:NONE_RECENT
- EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:52d clear
- SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
- MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (1)
- ASYMMETRY:0.3<1.5@spot
Warning (1)
- DEATH_CROSS:momentum=6.5>=5.0 recovering
Reward-to-Risk
0.26
Upside
+2.9%
Downside
11.2%
Sizing output
AVOID
SetupRECOVERY — Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 61
EdgeNO_EDGE — No clear edge identified
SuitabilityMODERATE — Balanced profile
Investment implication
The F-path SELL output reflects an overall score of 5.3 below the 5.6 soft trigger — multiple weakening dimensions accumulated rather than a single hard-floor breach. The strongest dimension ( Risk (lower is worse) at 7.6) was not enough to lift the adjusted overall above the threshold. Co-occurring failed gates ( ASYMMETRY:0.3<1.5@spot) reinforce the read. Current asymmetry R:R is 0.26 — supplementary context, not the trigger for this path.
The strongest dimensions are Risk (lower is worse) at 7.6, Quality at 6.9, and Value at 6.7; the weakest are Growth at 1.4, Technical at 3.4, and Peer rank at 3.9. The V9 engine flagged 1 failed gate with 1 warning, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of 0.26 and an engine sizing output of AVOID.