Value
9.6/10data confidence 50%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| P/S | 9.2 |
| Fwd P/E | 9.8 |
| PEG | 10.0 |
- ▸Forward P/E: 6.4x
- ▸PEG: 0.03
- ▸Attractively valued
PSEC · Why this verdict
Why Prospect Capital (PSEC) is rated HOLD
Updated
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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VerdictHOLD
Overall score5.5/10
ConfidenceMEDIUM
MacroRISK_OFF
Per-dimension breakdown
Quality
5.1/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| ROE | 0.0 |
| ROA | 2.9 |
| Gross margin | 10.0 |
| Op margin | 10.0 |
| Net margin | 0.0 |
| Current ratio | 3.3 |
| FCF quality | 10.0 |
| Moat | 4.8 |
| Rule of 40 | 3.0 |
| Piotroski F | 6.7 |
- ▸FCF-positive despite GAAP loss (FCF margin 31%, FCF yield 18.2%)
- ▸No competitive moat
- ▸Rule of 40: 19 (fail)
Growth
5.0/10data confidence 67%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Rev growth | 0.0 |
| EPS growth | 10.0 |
- ▸Declining revenue: -12%
Momentum
2.8/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| RSI | 4.5 |
| MACD | 6.1 |
| OBV | 1.0 |
| MA position | 1.0 |
| Volume | 1.5 |
- ▸Volume distribution (falling OBV)
- ▸Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.4%/30d — confirmed downtrend
Sentiment
4.5/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Analyst rating | 5.0 |
| Price target | 3.4 |
| erm sentiment | 5.0 |
- ▸Below analyst target
Insider
7.1/10data confidence 75%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| materiality | 8.0 |
| insider conviction | 8.0 |
| holder change | 5.2 |
- ▸Notable insider buying — $1,997,006 (0.179% of mkt cap)
Peer rank
2.8/10data confidence 80%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| value rank | 9.3 |
| quality rank | 0.7 |
| growth rank | 1.3 |
Technical
5.6/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| bollinger | 5.8 |
| support resistance | 6.4 |
| 52w position | 4.6 |
Risk (lower is worse)
6.3/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| short interest | 5.6 |
| days to cover | 5.6 |
| volatility | 2.8 |
| put call | 10.0 |
| max pain risk | 3.0 |
| beta | 8.4 |
| debt equity | 8.5 |
- ▸Above max pain $1
Catalyst
4.4/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| erm | 5.0 |
| earnings history | 6.7 |
| earnings timing | 5.0 |
| surprise avg | 0.0 |
| dividend safety | 5.2 |
- ▸Strong earnings: 3B/1M
- ▸Dividend: 2242.0%
How the verdict was assembled
Engine trigger
Maintain position. Not compelling to add more.
Engine technical detail
verdict_path:
L4:PATH_F_HOLDPassed (5)
- 8K:CLEAN
- NEWS_EVENTS:NONE_RECENT
- EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:79d clear
- SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
- MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (2)
- MOMENTUM:2.8<4.5
- ASYMMETRY:-3.1=NEGATIVE
Warning (1)
- INSIDER:0.18%=MODERATE
Reward-to-Risk
-3.11
Upside
-24.1%
Downside
7.7%
Sizing output
AVOID
SetupRANGE_BOUND — RSI 56 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band
EdgeNO_EDGE — No clear edge identified
SuitabilityAGGRESSIVE — MCap $1.1B<$5B
Investment implication
None of the engine's positive-conviction paths (C-quality, D-momentum) triggered — the F-path HOLD reflects balanced signals. Strongest-cleared gate: 8K:CLEAN. Top dim: Value at 9.6; weakest: Peer rank at 2.8. No conviction either direction.
The strongest dimensions are Value at 9.6, Insider at 7.1, and Risk (lower is worse) at 6.3; the weakest are Peer rank at 2.8, Momentum at 2.8, and Catalyst at 4.4. The V9 engine flagged 2 failed gates with 1 warning, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of -3.11 and an engine sizing output of AVOID.