Value
7.0/10data confidence 67%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| P/E | 6.5 |
| P/S | 8.5 |
| Fwd P/E | 8.3 |
| Analyst target | 5.0 |
- ▸Forward P/E: 14.1x
PIPR · Why this verdict
Why Piper Sandler Companies (PIPR) is rated SELL
Updated
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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VerdictSELL
Overall score6.1/10
ConfidenceMEDIUM
MacroNEUTRAL
Per-dimension breakdown
Quality
8.6/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| ROE | 7.4 |
| ROA | 10.0 |
| Gross margin | 10.0 |
| Op margin | 8.7 |
| Net margin | 7.0 |
| Current ratio | 9.6 |
| Moat | 7.5 |
| Piotroski F | 8.9 |
- ▸Wide economic moat
- ▸Compounder quality: strong returns + growth
- ▸Strong Piotroski F-Score: 8/9
- ▸High-quality business
Growth
6.1/10data confidence 67%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Rev growth | 10.0 |
| EPS growth | 2.2 |
- ▸Strong growth: 33% YoY
Momentum
5.9/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| RSI | 4.5 |
| MACD | 10.0 |
| OBV | 10.0 |
| MA position | 5.2 |
| Volume | 0.0 |
- ▸Volume accumulation (rising OBV)
- ▸Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+0.0%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness
Sentiment
5.8/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Analyst rating | 5.0 |
| Price target | 7.5 |
| erm sentiment | 5.0 |
Insider
5.2/10data confidence 50%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| materiality | 5.0 |
| holder change | 5.5 |
- ▸No net insider activity — $0 (0.000% of mkt cap)
Peer rank
4.9/10data confidence 80%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| value rank | 5.3 |
| quality rank | 5.7 |
| growth rank | 7.3 |
Technical
4.2/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| bollinger | 1.8 |
| support resistance | 2.5 |
| 52w position | 7.3 |
| gap | 5.0 |
Risk (lower is worse)
3.5/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| short interest | 7.5 |
| days to cover | 6.4 |
| volatility | 4.8 |
| put call | 0.0 |
| implied vol | 0.4 |
| beta | 5.3 |
| debt equity | 0.0 |
- ▸Elevated put/call: 2.64
- ▸High IV: 78%
- ▸Concentration risks: 1 HIGH, 1 MED (10-K Item 1A — sized via position_sizing, validated via buy_confidence)
Catalyst
6.4/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| erm | 5.0 |
| earnings history | 6.7 |
| earnings timing | 5.0 |
| surprise avg | 10.0 |
| dividend safety | 5.2 |
- ▸Strong earnings: 3B/1M
- ▸Dividend: 92.0%
How the verdict was assembled
Engine trigger
Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position.
Engine technical detail
verdict_path:
L4:PATH_F_SELLPassed (7)
- MOMENTUM:5.9>=5.5
- INSIDER:OK
- 8K:CLEAN
- NEWS_EVENTS:NONE_RECENT
- EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:45d clear
- SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
- MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (1)
- ASYMMETRY:0.1<1.5@spot
Warning (0)
none
Reward-to-Risk
0.09
Upside
+0.6%
Downside
7.2%
Sizing output
AVOID
SetupRECOVERY — Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 49
EdgeNO_EDGE — No clear edge identified
SuitabilityAGGRESSIVE — Beta 1.42>1.3
Investment implication
The F-path SELL output reflects an overall score of 4.6 below the 5.6 soft trigger — multiple weakening dimensions accumulated rather than a single hard-floor breach. The strongest dimension ( Quality at 8.6) was not enough to lift the adjusted overall above the threshold. Co-occurring failed gates ( ASYMMETRY:0.1<1.5@spot) reinforce the read. Current asymmetry R:R is 0.09 — supplementary context, not the trigger for this path.
The strongest dimensions are Quality at 8.6, Value at 7.0, and Catalyst at 6.4; the weakest are Risk (lower is worse) at 3.5, Technical at 4.2, and Peer rank at 4.9. The V9 engine flagged 1 failed gate, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of 0.09 and an engine sizing output of AVOID.