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PACGrupo Aeroportuario Del PacificSell5.7·$228.80-4.52%
PAC · Why this verdict

Why Grupo Aeroportuario Del Pacific (PAC) is rated SELL

Updated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

VerdictSELL
Overall score5.7/10
ConfidenceHIGH
MacroRISK_OFF

Per-dimension breakdown

Value

7.3/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
P/E6.5
P/S10.0
EV/EBITDA7.5
Fwd P/E7.9
PEG6.7
Analyst target6.0
  • Forward P/E: 15.4x
  • PEG: 1.07
  • Attractively valued

Quality

7.2/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
ROE10.0
ROA8.1
Gross margin10.0
Op margin10.0
Net margin10.0
Current ratio5.4
FCF quality1.5
Moat6.4
Rule of 403.0
Piotroski F7.8
  • Excellent ROE: 38%
  • Strong margins: 30%
  • Earnings quality RED FLAG: 18% FCF/NI
  • Rule of 40: 8 (fail)

Growth

4.2/10data confidence 67%
ComponentSub-score
Rev growth3.2
EPS growth5.1

Momentum

4.5/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
RSI4.5
MACD0.0
OBV10.0
MA position2.2
Volume5.7
  • Volume accumulation (rising OBV)
  • Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+0.9%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness

Sentiment

6.8/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
Analyst rating6.6
Price target7.9
erm sentiment5.6
  • Light analyst coverage (6.0) — signal dampened
  • Analyst upside: 22%

Insider

5.0/10data confidence 50%
ComponentSub-score
materiality5.0
holder change5.0
  • No net insider activity — $0 (0.000% of mkt cap)

Peer rank

3.6/10data confidence 80%
ComponentSub-score
value rank1.3
quality rank5.5
growth rank2.5

Technical

8.3/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
bollinger10.0
support resistance9.8
52w position5.2

Risk (lower is worse)

6.8/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
short interest9.5
days to cover7.8
volatility4.0
beta10.0
debt equity2.7

Catalyst

3.7/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
erm5.0
earnings history3.3
earnings timing5.0
surprise avg1.8
dividend safety3.5
  • Earnings concerns: 2B/2M
  • Yield trap warning: high yield but unsafe

How the verdict was assembled

Engine trigger

Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position.

Engine technical detail
verdict_path: L4:PATH_F_SELL
Passed (6)
  • INSIDER:OK
  • 8K:CLEAN
  • NEWS_EVENTS:NONE_RECENT
  • EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:43d clear
  • SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
  • MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (2)
  • MOMENTUM:4.5<4.5
  • ASYMMETRY:0.9<1.5@spot
Warning (0)

none

Reward-to-Risk
0.90
Upside
+6.1%
Downside
6.8%
Sizing output
AVOID

SetupUNKNOWN No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed

EdgeNO_EDGE No clear edge identified

SuitabilityMODERATE Balanced profile

Investment implication

The F-path SELL output reflects an overall score of 3.7 below the 5.6 soft trigger — multiple weakening dimensions accumulated rather than a single hard-floor breach. The strongest dimension ( Technical at 8.3) was not enough to lift the adjusted overall above the threshold. Co-occurring failed gates ( MOMENTUM:4.5<4.5, ASYMMETRY:0.9<1.5@spot) reinforce the read. Current asymmetry R:R is 0.90 — supplementary context, not the trigger for this path.

The strongest dimensions are Technical at 8.3, Value at 7.3, and Quality at 7.2; the weakest are Peer rank at 3.6, Catalyst at 3.7, and Growth at 4.2. The V9 engine flagged 2 failed gates, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of 0.90 and an engine sizing output of AVOID.

Engine reasoning is mechanically derived from pipeline gate outputs. See decision view.

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