Value
2.1/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| P/E | 1.6 |
| P/S | 5.2 |
| EV/EBITDA | 0.0 |
| Fwd P/E | 2.0 |
| PEG | 1.1 |
| Analyst target | 3.0 |
- ▸Forward P/E: 56.3x
- ▸PEG: 7.29
- ▸Expensive valuation
ORA · Why this verdict
Why Ormat Technologies (ORA) is rated SELL
Updated
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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VerdictSELL
Overall score5.0/10
ConfidenceMEDIUM
MacroNEUTRAL
Per-dimension breakdown
Quality
3.8/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| ROE | 1.6 |
| ROA | 1.4 |
| Gross margin | 1.5 |
| Op margin | 8.5 |
| Net margin | 5.5 |
| Current ratio | 4.2 |
| FCF quality | 0.0 |
| Moat | 4.9 |
| Piotroski F | 6.7 |
- ▸Earnings quality RED FLAG: -140% FCF/NI
- ▸No competitive moat
Growth
6.8/10data confidence 67%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Rev growth | 10.0 |
| EPS growth | 3.5 |
- ▸Strong growth: 76% YoY
Momentum
7.1/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| RSI | 5.0 |
| MACD | 10.0 |
| OBV | 10.0 |
| MA position | 9.0 |
| Volume | 1.4 |
- ▸Volume accumulation (rising OBV)
- ▸Above 200-day MA
Sentiment
5.7/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Analyst rating | 7.0 |
| Price target | 4.5 |
| erm sentiment | 5.0 |
Insider
3.9/10data confidence 75%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| materiality | 4.5 |
| insider conviction | 2.0 |
| holder change | 5.1 |
- ▸Modest insider selling — $5,773,164 (0.067% of mkt cap)
Peer rank
5.5/10data confidence 80%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| value rank | 1.9 |
| quality rank | 6.1 |
| growth rank | 9.0 |
- ▸Industry growth leader
Technical
4.8/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| bollinger | 2.9 |
| support resistance | 2.4 |
| 52w position | 9.1 |
Risk (lower is worse)
6.0/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| short interest | 5.3 |
| days to cover | 6.1 |
| volatility | 5.2 |
| put call | 10.0 |
| implied vol | 3.0 |
| beta | 7.9 |
| debt equity | 4.5 |
- ▸High IV: 62%
- ▸Concentration risks: 1 HIGH, 2 MED (10-K Item 1A — sized via position_sizing, validated via buy_confidence)
Catalyst
7.0/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| erm | 5.0 |
| earnings history | 10.0 |
| earnings timing | 5.0 |
| surprise avg | 10.0 |
| dividend safety | 5.2 |
- ▸Perfect beat streak: 4Q
- ▸Dividend: 34.0%
How the verdict was assembled
Engine trigger
Quality below minimum threshold.
Engine technical detail
verdict_path:
L1:HARD_BLOCKPassed (7)
- MOMENTUM:7.1>=5.5
- INSIDER:OK
- 8K:CLEAN
- NEWS_EVENTS:NONE_RECENT
- EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:59d clear
- SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
- MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (1)
- ASYMMETRY:-1.1=NEGATIVE
Warning (0)
none
Reward-to-Risk
-1.07
Upside
-15.8%
Downside
14.8%
Sizing output
AVOID
SetupBREAKOUT — Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 64, MACD bullish
EdgeNO_EDGE — No clear edge identified
SuitabilityMODERATE — Balanced profile
Investment implication
The L1 gate blocked the positive-verdict path: a hard-floor threshold was breached, so dimensional pillars — including Momentum at 7.1 could not lift the engine output above the verdict floor. Failed gate signal: ASYMMETRY:-1.1=NEGATIVE.
The strongest dimensions are Momentum at 7.1, Catalyst at 7.0, and Growth at 6.8; the weakest are Value at 2.1, Quality at 3.8, and Insider at 3.9. The V9 engine flagged 1 failed gate, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of -1.07 and an engine sizing output of AVOID.