Value
8.3/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| P/E | 7.9 |
| P/S | 10.0 |
| EV/EBITDA | 8.9 |
| Fwd P/E | 9.1 |
| PEG | 8.4 |
| Analyst target | 6.0 |
- ▸Forward P/E: 11.0x
- ▸PEG: 0.76
- ▸Attractively valued
OMAB · Why this verdict
Why Grupo Aeroportuario del Centro (OMAB) is rated SELL
Updated
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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VerdictSELL
Overall score5.7/10
ConfidenceMEDIUM
MacroRISK_OFF
Per-dimension breakdown
Quality
7.5/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| ROE | 10.0 |
| ROA | 10.0 |
| Gross margin | 9.5 |
| Op margin | 10.0 |
| Net margin | 10.0 |
| Current ratio | 4.4 |
| FCF quality | 4.2 |
| Moat | 6.9 |
| Rule of 40 | 3.0 |
| Piotroski F | 6.7 |
- ▸Excellent ROE: 43%
- ▸Strong margins: 33%
- ▸Earnings quality warning: 53% FCF/NI
- ▸Rule of 40: 24 (fail)
Growth
2.7/10data confidence 67%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Rev growth | 4.2 |
| EPS growth | 1.2 |
Momentum
2.4/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| RSI | 4.5 |
| MACD | 3.1 |
| OBV | 1.0 |
| MA position | 1.5 |
| Volume | 1.7 |
- ▸Volume distribution (falling OBV)
- ▸Below 200-MA, MA slope flat
Sentiment
7.3/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Analyst rating | 6.8 |
| Price target | 8.4 |
| erm sentiment | 6.9 |
- ▸Light analyst coverage (8.0) — signal dampened
- ▸Analyst upside: 28%
Insider
5.0/10data confidence 50%Peer rank
5.4/10data confidence 80%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| value rank | 3.8 |
| quality rank | 7.8 |
| growth rank | 5.0 |
Technical
8.2/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| bollinger | 10.0 |
| support resistance | 9.9 |
| 52w position | 4.7 |
Risk (lower is worse)
7.0/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| short interest | 9.5 |
| days to cover | 6.7 |
| volatility | 5.1 |
| put call | 10.0 |
| implied vol | 4.9 |
| max pain risk | 5.0 |
| beta | 10.0 |
| debt equity | 4.9 |
Catalyst
4.1/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| erm | 8.0 |
| earnings history | 1.1 |
| earnings timing | 5.0 |
| surprise avg | 1.0 |
| dividend safety | 5.2 |
- ▸Earnings concerns: 1B/2M
- ▸Dividend: 594.0%
How the verdict was assembled
Engine trigger
Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position.
Engine technical detail
verdict_path:
L4:PATH_F_SELLPassed (7)
- ASYMMETRY:1.9>=1.5
- INSIDER:OK
- 8K:CLEAN
- NEWS_EVENTS:NONE_RECENT
- EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:49d clear
- SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
- MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (1)
- MOMENTUM:2.4<4.5
Warning (0)
none
Reward-to-Risk
1.89
Upside
+11.2%
Downside
5.9%
Sizing output
AVOID
SetupUNKNOWN — No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed
EdgeNO_EDGE — No clear edge identified
SuitabilityAGGRESSIVE — MCap $4.7B<$5B
Investment implication
The F-path SELL output reflects an overall score of 4.7 below the 5.6 soft trigger — multiple weakening dimensions accumulated rather than a single hard-floor breach. The strongest dimension ( Value at 8.3) was not enough to lift the adjusted overall above the threshold. Co-occurring failed gates ( MOMENTUM:2.4<4.5) reinforce the read. Current asymmetry R:R is 1.89 — supplementary context, not the trigger for this path.
The strongest dimensions are Value at 8.3, Technical at 8.2, and Quality at 7.5; the weakest are Momentum at 2.4, Growth at 2.7, and Catalyst at 4.1. The V9 engine flagged 1 failed gate, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of 1.89 and an engine sizing output of AVOID.