Value
8.5/10data confidence 83%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| P/S | 9.7 |
| EV/EBITDA | 7.3 |
| Fwd P/E | 9.3 |
| PEG | 10.0 |
| Analyst target | 6.0 |
- ▸Forward P/E: 10.0x
- ▸PEG: 0.03
- ▸Attractively valued
OC · Why this verdict
Why Owens Corning (OC) is rated SELL
Updated
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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VerdictSELL
Overall score4.2/10
ConfidenceMEDIUM
MacroNEUTRAL
Per-dimension breakdown
Quality
2.5/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| ROE | 0.0 |
| ROA | 4.2 |
| Gross margin | 1.4 |
| Op margin | 2.9 |
| Net margin | 0.0 |
| Current ratio | 4.7 |
| Moat | 2.5 |
| Piotroski F | 4.4 |
- ▸No competitive moat
- ▸Quality concerns
Growth
0.0/10data confidence 33%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Rev growth | 0.0 |
- ▸Declining revenue: -10%
Momentum
4.3/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| RSI | 4.5 |
| MACD | 7.9 |
| OBV | 1.0 |
| MA position | 6.0 |
| Volume | 2.0 |
- ▸Volume distribution (falling OBV)
- ▸Below 200-MA, MA slope -2.6%/30d — confirmed downtrend
Sentiment
6.8/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Analyst rating | 7.3 |
| Price target | 7.8 |
| erm sentiment | 5.0 |
- ▸Analyst upside: 21%
Insider
5.0/10data confidence 50%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| materiality | 5.0 |
| holder change | 5.1 |
- ▸Negligible insider selling — $317,381 (0.003% of mkt cap)
Peer rank
2.3/10data confidence 80%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| value rank | 8.4 |
| quality rank | 0.3 |
| growth rank | 0.5 |
Technical
4.7/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| bollinger | 4.8 |
| support resistance | 4.0 |
| 52w position | 5.3 |
Risk (lower is worse)
5.1/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| short interest | 6.5 |
| days to cover | 6.6 |
| volatility | 3.1 |
| put call | 5.2 |
| implied vol | 4.7 |
| beta | 5.6 |
| debt equity | 3.7 |
- ▸Concentration risks: 2 HIGH (10-K Item 1A — sized via position_sizing, validated via buy_confidence)
Catalyst
3.4/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| erm | 5.0 |
| earnings history | 0.0 |
| earnings timing | 5.0 |
| surprise avg | 0.0 |
| dividend safety | 7.0 |
- ▸Earnings concerns: 1B/3M
- ▸Dividend: 248.0%
How the verdict was assembled
Engine trigger
Quality below minimum threshold.
Engine technical detail
verdict_path:
L1:HARD_BLOCKPassed (5)
- INSIDER:OK
- NEWS_EVENTS:NONE_RECENT
- EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:58d clear
- SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
- MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (4)
- MOMENTUM:4.3<4.5
- ASYMMETRY:0.9<1.5@spot
- DEATH_CROSS:HARD_BLOCK
- 8K_SERIOUS:2.06
Warning (0)
none
Reward-to-Risk
0.87
Upside
+9.3%
Downside
10.7%
Sizing output
AVOID
SetupRECOVERY — Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 58
EdgeNO_EDGE — No clear edge identified
SuitabilityAGGRESSIVE — Beta 1.35>1.3
Investment implication
The L1 gate blocked the positive-verdict path: a hard-floor threshold was breached, so dimensional pillars — including Value at 8.5 could not lift the engine output above the verdict floor. Failed gate signal: MOMENTUM:4.3<4.5.
The strongest dimensions are Value at 8.5, Sentiment at 6.8, and Risk (lower is worse) at 5.1; the weakest are Growth at 0.0, Peer rank at 2.3, and Quality at 2.5. The V9 engine flagged 4 failed gates, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of 0.87 and an engine sizing output of AVOID.