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NYAXNayax Ltd.Sell5.2·$66.75+2.69%
NYAX · Why this verdict

Why Nayax (NYAX) is rated SELL

Updated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

VerdictSELL
Overall score5.2/10
ConfidenceHIGH
MacroRISK_OFF

Per-dimension breakdown

Value

4.2/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
P/E0.9
P/S6.4
EV/EBITDA0.0
Fwd P/E2.5
PEG9.6
Analyst target4.0
  • Forward P/E: 45.4x
  • PEG: 0.56

Quality

4.4/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
ROE4.7
ROA2.0
Gross margin5.6
Op margin1.5
Net margin3.5
Current ratio7.4
FCF quality0.0
Moat6.1
Piotroski F8.9
  • Earnings quality RED FLAG: -65% FCF/NI
  • Strong Piotroski F-Score: 8/9

Growth

10.0/10data confidence 67%
ComponentSub-score
Rev growth10.0
EPS growth10.0
  • Strong growth: 32% YoY

Momentum

2.5/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
RSI5.5
MACD0.0
OBV1.0
MA position6.0
Volume0.0
  • Volume distribution (falling OBV)
  • Above 200-day MA

Sentiment

6.8/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
Analyst rating6.3
Price target7.1
erm sentiment7.1
  • Light analyst coverage (4.0) — signal dampened
  • Estimates rising as sentiment proxy (+5.3%)

Insider

2.5/10data confidence 50%
ComponentSub-score
materiality3.0
insider conviction2.0
  • Notable insider selling — $5,690,677 (0.234% of mkt cap)

Peer rank

3.9/10data confidence 80%
ComponentSub-score
value rank2.6
quality rank4.8
growth rank8.2
  • Industry growth leader

Technical

6.5/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
bollinger6.4
support resistance7.3
52w position7.4
gap5.0

Risk (lower is worse)

5.9/10data confidence 80%
ComponentSub-score
short interest9.9
days to cover9.5
volatility0.0
debt equity4.2

Catalyst

4.8/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
erm8.5
earnings history3.3
earnings timing5.0
surprise avg2.6
  • Estimates up 5.3% (30d)
  • Earnings concerns: 2B/2M

How the verdict was assembled

Engine trigger

Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position.

Engine technical detail
verdict_path: L4:PATH_F_SELL
Passed (6)
  • INSIDER:OK
  • 8K:CLEAN
  • NEWS_EVENTS:NONE_RECENT
  • EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:65d clear
  • SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
  • MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (2)
  • MOMENTUM:2.5<4.5
  • ASYMMETRY:-0.2=NEGATIVE
Warning (0)

none

Reward-to-Risk
-0.20
Upside
-2.0%
Downside
10.0%
Sizing output
AVOID

SetupRANGE_BOUND RSI 56 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band

EdgeNO_EDGE No clear edge identified

SuitabilityAGGRESSIVE MCap $2.4B<$5B

Investment implication

The F-path SELL output fired on the hard insider floor: insider score of 2.5 sits below the 3.0 threshold (heavy insider selling), which triggers SELL regardless of other dimensions. Co-occurring failed gates ( MOMENTUM:2.5<4.5, ASYMMETRY:-0.2=NEGATIVE) reinforce the read. Current asymmetry R:R is -0.20 — supplementary context, not the trigger for this path.

The strongest dimensions are Growth at 10.0, Sentiment at 6.8, and Technical at 6.5; the weakest are Insider at 2.5, Momentum at 2.5, and Peer rank at 3.9. The V9 engine flagged 2 failed gates, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of -0.20 and an engine sizing output of AVOID.

Engine reasoning is mechanically derived from pipeline gate outputs. See decision view.

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