Value
5.3/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| P/E | 4.5 |
| P/S | 6.2 |
| EV/EBITDA | 0.0 |
| Fwd P/E | 7.3 |
| PEG | 8.1 |
| Analyst target | 4.0 |
- ▸Forward P/E: 17.1x
- ▸PEG: 0.82
NXPI · Why this verdict
Why NXP Semiconductors (NXPI) is rated BUY WAIT
Updated
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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VerdictBUY WAIT
Overall score5.8/10
ConfidenceMEDIUM
MacroRISK_OFF
Per-dimension breakdown
Quality
8.0/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| ROE | 8.6 |
| ROA | 5.4 |
| Gross margin | 7.1 |
| Op margin | 10.0 |
| Net margin | 10.0 |
| Current ratio | 7.7 |
| FCF quality | 7.1 |
| Moat | 7.5 |
| Piotroski F | 8.9 |
- ▸Excellent ROE: 26%
- ▸Strong margins: 21%
- ▸Wide economic moat
- ▸Compounder quality: strong returns + growth
Growth
7.8/10data confidence 67%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Rev growth | 5.5 |
| EPS growth | 10.0 |
Momentum
3.6/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| RSI | 5.5 |
| MACD | 0.0 |
| OBV | 1.0 |
| MA position | 6.0 |
| Volume | 5.3 |
- ▸Volume distribution (falling OBV)
- ▸Above 200-day MA
Sentiment
5.6/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| LLM sentiment | 6.5 |
| Analyst rating | 5.0 |
| Price target | 5.3 |
Insider
5.0/10data confidence 50%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| materiality | 5.0 |
| holder change | 5.0 |
- ▸Negligible insider selling — $3,061,078 (0.004% of mkt cap)
Peer rank
4.5/10data confidence 80%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| value rank | 7.5 |
| quality rank | 7.4 |
| growth rank | 3.0 |
- ▸Attractive P/E vs peers
Technical
6.6/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| bollinger | 7.0 |
| support resistance | 7.0 |
| 52w position | 7.5 |
| gap | 5.0 |
Risk (lower is worse)
4.8/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| short interest | 8.3 |
| days to cover | 9.0 |
| volatility | 0.0 |
| put call | 7.0 |
| implied vol | 0.6 |
| beta | 4.0 |
| debt equity | 4.9 |
- ▸High IV: 76%
Catalyst
5.0/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| erm | 5.0 |
| earnings history | 6.7 |
| earnings timing | 5.0 |
| surprise avg | 3.2 |
| dividend safety | 5.2 |
| news activity | 5.0 |
- ▸Strong earnings: 3B/1M
- ▸Dividend: 135.0%
How the verdict was assembled
Engine trigger
Growth is cheap relative to earnings, but the technical setup has not yet produced a breakout above resistance (PEG 0.82, quality 8.0/10, growth 7.8/10).
Engine technical detail
verdict_path:
L4:PATH_C2_GARP_WAIT|ENTRY_STICKY:PRIOR_STILL_VIABLEPassed (5)
- INSIDER:OK
- 8K:CLEAN
- EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:48d clear
- SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
- MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (2)
- MOMENTUM:3.6<4.5
- ASYMMETRY:-0.6=NEGATIVE
Warning (0)
none
Reward-to-Risk
-0.59
Upside
-6.5%
Downside
11.0%
Sizing output
STARTER
SetupRANGE_BOUND — RSI 51 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band
EdgeTEMP_HEADWIND — High quality (8.0) with weak momentum (3.6)
SuitabilityAGGRESSIVE — Beta 1.79>1.3
Investment implication
The C-path quality+growth combination triggered the STRONG_BUY_WAIT verdict: quality 8.0 and growth 7.8 both clear their thresholds, with asymmetric R:R of -0.59 supporting the read.
The strongest dimensions are Quality at 8.0, Growth at 7.8, and Technical at 6.6; the weakest are Momentum at 3.6, Peer rank at 4.5, and Risk (lower is worse) at 4.8. The V9 engine flagged 2 failed gates, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of -0.59 and an engine sizing output of STARTER.