Value
7.1/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| P/E | 9.0 |
| P/S | 9.9 |
| EV/EBITDA | 10.0 |
| Fwd P/E | 8.7 |
| PEG | 3.6 |
| Analyst target | 4.0 |
- ▸Forward P/E: 13.0x
- ▸PEG: 3.17
- ▸Attractively valued
NVO · Why this verdict
Why Novo Nordisk A/S (NVO) is rated SELL
Updated
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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VerdictSELL
Overall score6.7/10
ConfidenceMEDIUM
MacroRISK_OFF
Per-dimension breakdown
Quality
7.2/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| ROE | 10.0 |
| ROA | 10.0 |
| Gross margin | 10.0 |
| Op margin | 10.0 |
| Net margin | 10.0 |
| Current ratio | 3.2 |
| FCF quality | 0.0 |
| Moat | 8.2 |
| Rule of 40 | 3.0 |
| Piotroski F | 7.8 |
- ▸Excellent ROE: 71%
- ▸Strong margins: 37%
- ▸Earnings quality RED FLAG: -10% FCF/NI
- ▸Wide economic moat
Growth
9.2/10data confidence 67%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Rev growth | 8.5 |
| EPS growth | 10.0 |
- ▸Strong growth: 24% YoY
Momentum
1.8/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| RSI | 3.5 |
| MACD | 0.0 |
| OBV | 1.0 |
| MA position | 1.0 |
| Volume | 3.5 |
- ▸Volume distribution (falling OBV)
- ▸Below 200-MA, MA slope -3.7%/30d — confirmed downtrend
Sentiment
7.3/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| LLM sentiment | 7.7 |
| Analyst rating | 7.1 |
| Price target | 7.0 |
- ▸LLM news sentiment: +0.53 (n=7)
Insider
5.0/10data confidence 50%Peer rank
7.9/10data confidence 80%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| value rank | 9.1 |
| quality rank | 8.7 |
| growth rank | 8.8 |
- ▸Attractive P/E vs peers
- ▸Best-in-class margins
Technical
6.6/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| bollinger | 10.0 |
| support resistance | 10.0 |
| 52w position | 0.5 |
| gap | 6.0 |
Risk (lower is worse)
7.0/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| short interest | 9.7 |
| days to cover | 9.8 |
| volatility | 4.4 |
| put call | 7.4 |
| implied vol | 4.7 |
| max pain risk | 3.0 |
| beta | 10.0 |
| debt equity | 6.7 |
- ▸Above max pain $25
Catalyst
5.1/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| erm | 5.0 |
| earnings history | 3.3 |
| earnings timing | 5.0 |
| surprise avg | 2.9 |
| dividend safety | 6.5 |
| news activity | 8.0 |
- ▸Earnings concerns: 2B/2M
- ▸Dividend: 419.0%
How the verdict was assembled
Engine trigger
Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. | News modifier -1 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → SELL_IF_HOLDING).
Engine technical detail
verdict_path:
L4:PATH_F_HOLD|L3:NEWS_MOD=-1Passed (5)
- INSIDER:OK
- 8K:CLEAN
- EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:58d clear
- SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
- MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (3)
- MOMENTUM:1.8<4.5
- ASYMMETRY:-0.2=NEGATIVE
- DEATH_CROSS:HARD_BLOCK
Warning (0)
none
Reward-to-Risk
-0.16
Upside
-1.1%
Downside
6.5%
Sizing output
AVOID
SetupFALLING_KNIFE — Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 37, MACD bearish
EdgeNO_EDGE — No clear edge identified
SuitabilityMODERATE — Balanced profile
Investment implication
None of the engine's positive-conviction paths (C-quality, D-momentum) triggered — the F-path HOLD reflects balanced signals. Strongest-cleared gate: INSIDER:OK. Top dim: Growth at 9.2; weakest: Momentum at 1.8. No conviction either direction.
The strongest dimensions are Growth at 9.2, Peer rank at 7.9, and Sentiment at 7.3; the weakest are Momentum at 1.8, Insider at 5.0, and Catalyst at 5.1. The V9 engine flagged 3 failed gates, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of -0.16 and an engine sizing output of AVOID.