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NRCNRC HealthSell6.2·$21.87-3.95%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

NRC combines excellent profitability and cash-conversion metrics with having already reached its analyst price target and a negative modeled risk/reward setup, while an overbought technical condition and two large recent earnings misses add further uncertainty.

Thesis pillars

  • Excellent Quality MetricsStable
  • Analyst Target Reached Negative AsymmetryStable
  • Overbought Technical ConditionStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

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NRC Health (NRC) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5GrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Healthcare · Health Information Services

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $21.87 — A.R:R is negative (-0.7) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Customer: healthcare industry customers.

NRC Health, formerly National Research Corporation, provides subscription-based patient experience, consumer experience, employee experience and market research analytics solutions to U.S. healthcare organizations, serving over 250 of the top 400 health systems by net patient... Read more

$21.87+3.1% A.UpsideScore 6.2/10#4 of 24 Health Information Services
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield3.89%
IncomeYield2.68%(5y avg 2.06%)Payout143.59%at-risk
Stop $20.34Target $22.54(resistance)A.R:R -0.7:1
Analyst target$23.00+5.2%1 analysts
Range unavailable (1 analysts)

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $21.87 — A.R:R is negative (-0.7) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Customer: healthcare industry customers. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 20d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About NRC Health

About NRC Health

NRC Health's ten largest customers collectively accounted for 20 percent of the company's total revenue in 2025, up from 17 percent in 2024 and 15 percent in 2023, as the roughly 45-year-old healthcare analytics provider serves more than 250 of the top 400 U.S. health systems ranked by net patient revenue. Headquartered in Lincoln, Nebraska, the company markets subscription-based Patient Experience, Consumer Experience, Employee Experience and Market Experience solutions.

NRC Health generates the majority of its revenue from renewals of subscription-based service agreements, supplemented by cross-selling additional solutions to existing customers and adding new customers, with Market Insights, its syndicated survey product, measuring roughly 300,000 healthcare consumers annually. The company competes primarily against Press Ganey and Qualtrics, both of which it believes have significantly higher annual revenue, along with healthcare organizations' internal marketing and quality-improvement departments and general market research firms. NRC Health has also grown through acquisitions, completing eight since 2001, and recently overhauled its senior leadership team, appointing Trent Green as CEO in June 2025, Shane Harrison as CFO in September 2025, and Helen Hrdy as COO in October 2024.

Show full overview

Substantially all of NRC Health's revenue is derived from customers in the healthcare industry, meaning changes in Medicare and Medicaid reimbursement policy, healthcare consolidation, or reductions in provider operating budgets flow directly into the company's results rather than being diversified away by other end markets. The 10-K also notes that health spending reached approximately $5.3 trillion, or 18 percent of U.S. GDP, in 2024, underscoring both the scale of the addressable market and NRC Health's exposure to federal and state cost-containment measures currently under consideration in Congress.

See also: Healthcare · Health Information Services

From NRC Health's most recent 10-K filing, extracted July 6, 2026.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Jul 27, 202620d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Earnings estimates trending UP
Positive insider activity
Risks
Concentration risk — Customer: healthcare industry customers
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (4.0% away)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)57.7
P/E (Fwd)21.0
Mkt Cap$507M
EV/EBITDA16.8
Profit Mgn6.5%
ROE41.9%
Rev Growth3.7%
Beta0.38
Dividend2.68%
Rating analysts5

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.50bullish
IV70%elevated
Max Pain$25+14.3% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • LOWCustomerten largest customers20%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Our ten largest customers collectively accounted for 20%, 17%, and 15% of our total revenue in 2025, 2024, and 2023, respectively.'
  • HIGHCustomerhealthcare industry customers
    10-K Item 1A: 'Substantially all of our revenue is derived from customers in the healthcare industry.'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-28Item 5.02LOW
    NRC Health's Compensation Committee amended prior equity awards to CEO Trent Green, COO Helen Hrdy and Chief Corporate Development Officer Andrew Monich to correct tax-timing uncertainty on vested-share treatment; a routine compensation technical fix, not a departure.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-04-20Item 5.02LOW
    NRC Health amended CFO Shane Harrison's September 2025 restricted stock award to permit voting and dividend rights on unvested shares; a routine compensatory arrangement change, not a departure.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-04-20Item 5.03LOW
    National Research Corporation changed its corporate name to NRC Health effective April 15, 2026 via a charter amendment (no stockholder vote required, ticker unchanged), alongside a board declassification action.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
2.5
Value Rank
4.3
Quality Rank
8.7
Superior ROE vs peers
GatesA.R:R -0.7=NEGATIVEExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 6.7>=5.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 20d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
74 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $17.21Resistance $23.00

Price Targets

$20
$23
A.Upside+3.1%
A.R:R-0.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-10.6% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-27 (20d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is NRC stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $21.87 — A.R:R is negative (-0.7) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Customer: healthcare industry customers. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $20.34. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the NRC stock price target?

Take-profit target: $22.54 (+3.1% upside). Prior stop was $20.34. Stop-loss: $20.34.

What are the risks of investing in NRC?

Concentration risk — Customer: healthcare industry customers; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (4.0% away).

Is NRC overvalued or undervalued?

NRC Health trades at a P/E of 57.7 (forward 21.0). TrendMatrix value score: 6.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about NRC?

5 analysts cover NRC with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $23.

What does NRC Health do?NRC Health, formerly National Research Corporation, provides subscription-based patient experience, consumer...

NRC Health, formerly National Research Corporation, provides subscription-based patient experience, consumer experience, employee experience and market research analytics solutions to U.S. healthcare organizations, serving over 250 of the top 400 health systems by net patient revenue. The company's ten largest customers accounted for 20% of total revenue in 2025, up from 17% in 2024, and substantially all of its revenue is derived from customers in the healthcare industry.

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