Value
5.0/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| P/E | 3.8 |
| P/S | 7.5 |
| EV/EBITDA | 2.5 |
| Fwd P/E | 5.6 |
| PEG | 2.6 |
| Analyst target | 7.5 |
- ▸Forward P/E: 23.0x
- ▸PEG: 4.90
NPKI · Why this verdict
Why NPK International (NPKI) is rated SELL
Updated
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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VerdictSELL
Overall score5.2/10
ConfidenceHIGH
MacroRISK_OFF
Per-dimension breakdown
Quality
5.7/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| ROE | 3.5 |
| ROA | 4.9 |
| Gross margin | 3.1 |
| Op margin | 7.4 |
| Net margin | 6.9 |
| Current ratio | 5.7 |
| FCF quality | 5.5 |
| Moat | 5.6 |
| Piotroski F | 8.9 |
- ▸Earnings quality warning: 73% FCF/NI
- ▸Strong Piotroski F-Score: 8/9
Growth
4.7/10data confidence 67%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Rev growth | 6.5 |
| EPS growth | 2.9 |
Momentum
4.9/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| RSI | 7.7 |
| MACD | 1.4 |
| OBV | 10.0 |
| MA position | 4.0 |
| Volume | 1.3 |
- ▸Uptrend pullback (RSI 38) - buy opportunity
- ▸Volume accumulation (rising OBV)
- ▸Above 200-day MA
Sentiment
6.4/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Analyst rating | 5.0 |
| Price target | 9.3 |
| erm sentiment | 5.1 |
- ▸Analyst upside: 42%
Insider
3.4/10data confidence 75%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| materiality | 3.0 |
| insider conviction | 2.0 |
| holder change | 5.1 |
- ▸Notable insider selling — $3,571,470 (0.296% of mkt cap)
Peer rank
3.7/10data confidence 80%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| value rank | 3.0 |
| quality rank | 4.5 |
| growth rank | 7.4 |
Technical
8.5/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| bollinger | 9.2 |
| support resistance | 9.1 |
| 52w position | 7.3 |
Risk (lower is worse)
5.7/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| short interest | 9.2 |
| days to cover | 9.3 |
| volatility | 3.4 |
| put call | 8.7 |
| max pain risk | 3.0 |
| beta | 6.0 |
| debt equity | 0.0 |
- ▸Above max pain $2
Catalyst
7.5/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| erm | 5.0 |
| earnings history | 10.0 |
| earnings timing | 5.0 |
| surprise avg | 10.0 |
How the verdict was assembled
Engine trigger
Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position.
Engine technical detail
verdict_path:
L4:PATH_F_SELLPassed (8)
- MOMENTUM:4.9>=4.5
- ASYMMETRY:2.9>=1.5
- INSIDER:OK
- 8K:CLEAN
- NEWS_EVENTS:NONE_RECENT
- EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:57d clear
- SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
- MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (0)
none
Warning (1)
- MOMENTUM:4.9<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)
Reward-to-Risk
2.90
Upside
+21.0%
Downside
7.3%
Sizing output
AVOID
SetupUNKNOWN — No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed
EdgeNO_EDGE — No clear edge identified
SuitabilityAGGRESSIVE — MCap $1.2B<$5B
Investment implication
The F-path SELL output reflects an overall score of 3.0 below the 5.6 soft trigger — multiple weakening dimensions accumulated rather than a single hard-floor breach. The strongest dimension ( Technical at 8.5) was not enough to lift the adjusted overall above the threshold. Current asymmetry R:R is 2.90 — supplementary context, not the trigger for this path.
The strongest dimensions are Technical at 8.5, Catalyst at 7.5, and Sentiment at 6.4; the weakest are Insider at 3.4, Peer rank at 3.7, and Growth at 4.7. The V9 engine cleared all gates with 1 warning, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of 2.90 and an engine sizing output of AVOID.