NOAH combines a strong earnings beat streak, a 40% margin of safety, and elite balance-sheet quality with a confirmed technical downtrend and failed momentum and asymmetry gates, making it a hold-not-add position.
Thesis pillars
- Attractive Valuation Margin Of Safety→Stable
- Strong Earnings Beat Streak→Stable
- Strong Piotroski Quality Score→Stable
- +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Noah Holdings Limited (NOAH) Stock Analysis
Recovery setup · Inst Constrain edge
Financial Services · Asset Management
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $10.25, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Below 200-MA, MA slope -2.3%/30d (confirmed downtrend).
Noah Holdings Limited, together with its subsidiaries, operates as a wealth and asset management service provider with the focus on investment and asset allocation services for high net worth individuals and corporate entities in Mainland of China, Hong Kong, and... Read more
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $10.25, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Below 200-MA, MA slope -2.3%/30d (confirmed downtrend). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 42. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.6/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 50d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
1 ceiling hit
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $10.25, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Below 200-MA, MA slope -2.3%/30d (confirmed downtrend). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 42. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $10.42 (+1.7%), stop $9.69 (−5.8%), A.R:R 0.3:1. Score 6.6/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $10.42 (+1.7% upside). Target $10.42 (+1.7%), stop $9.69 (−5.8%), A.R:R 0.3:1. Stop-loss: $9.69.
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Below 200-MA, MA slope -2.3%/30d (confirmed downtrend).
Noah Holdings Limited trades at a P/E of 9.2 (forward 6.7). TrendMatrix value score: 8.8/10. Verdict: Hold.
10 analysts cover NOAH with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $12.
What does Noah Holdings Limited do?Noah Holdings Limited, together with its subsidiaries, operates as a wealth and asset management service provider with...
Noah Holdings Limited, together with its subsidiaries, operates as a wealth and asset management service provider with the focus on investment and asset allocation services for high net worth individuals and corporate entities in Mainland of China, Hong Kong, and internationally. It operates through Domestic Public Securities, Domestic Asset Management, Domestic Insurance, Overseas Wealth Management, Overseas Asset Management, and Overseas Insurance and Comprehensive Services segments. The company offers mutual fund products, which are publicly-raised, public securities investment funds, including money market funds; private secondary products; private equity products; investor education; trust services; and insurance products by referring clients, as well as individual whole life insurance, participating insurance, and individual health insurance products. It also provides domestic and overseas private equity, FOFs, public securities, real estate, and multi-strategy and other investments, as well as manages feeder funds. Noah Holdings Limited was founded in 2005 and is headquartered in Singapore.