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NICENICE LtdSell5.7·$91.35-1.92%
NICE · Why this verdict

Why NICE (NICE) is rated SELL

Updated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

VerdictSELL
Overall score5.7/10
ConfidenceHIGH
MacroRISK_OFF

Per-dimension breakdown

Value

9.0/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
P/E8.8
P/S9.1
EV/EBITDA8.1
Fwd P/E9.7
PEG8.8
Analyst target9.0
  • Forward P/E: 7.4x
  • PEG: 0.70
  • Attractively valued

Quality

6.4/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
ROE4.9
ROA5.2
Gross margin9.2
Op margin6.6
Net margin8.8
Current ratio4.7
FCF quality6.6
Moat6.2
Rule of 405.5
Piotroski F6.7
  • Strong margins: 18%

Growth

2.5/10data confidence 67%
ComponentSub-score
Rev growth5.0
EPS growth0.0

Momentum

4.4/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
RSI4.5
MACD10.0
OBV1.0
MA position1.0
Volume5.3
  • Volume distribution (falling OBV)
  • Below 200-MA, MA slope -6.6%/30d — confirmed downtrend

Sentiment

7.3/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
LLM sentiment8.0
Analyst rating5.0
Price target9.4
  • LLM news sentiment: +0.60 (n=1)
  • Analyst upside: 45%

Insider

6.0/10data confidence 75%
ComponentSub-score
materiality5.0
holder change5.9
notable moves7.0
  • No net insider activity — $0 (0.000% of mkt cap)

Peer rank

6.0/10data confidence 80%
ComponentSub-score
value rank8.8
quality rank6.6
growth rank2.8
  • Attractive P/E vs peers

Technical

4.0/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
bollinger5.9
support resistance6.0
52w position0.1

Risk (lower is worse)

5.2/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
short interest6.5
days to cover5.5
volatility1.8
put call10.0
implied vol2.2
max pain risk3.0
beta10.0
debt equity2.7
  • High IV: 67%
  • Above max pain $60

Catalyst

4.6/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
erm5.0
earnings history6.7
earnings timing5.0
surprise avg1.4
news activity5.0
  • Strong earnings: 3B/1M

How the verdict was assembled

Engine trigger

Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position.

Engine technical detail
verdict_path: L4:PATH_F_SELL
Passed (6)
  • ASYMMETRY:3.1>=1.5
  • INSIDER:OK
  • 8K:CLEAN
  • EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:66d clear
  • SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
  • MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (2)
  • MOMENTUM:4.4<4.5
  • DEATH_CROSS:HARD_BLOCK
Warning (0)

none

Reward-to-Risk
3.08
Upside
+26.5%
Downside
8.6%
Sizing output
AVOID

SetupRECOVERY Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 48

EdgeNO_EDGE No clear edge identified

SuitabilityMODERATE Balanced profile

Investment implication

The F-path SELL output reflects an overall score of 3.4 below the 5.6 soft trigger — multiple weakening dimensions accumulated rather than a single hard-floor breach. The strongest dimension ( Value at 9.0) was not enough to lift the adjusted overall above the threshold. Co-occurring failed gates ( MOMENTUM:4.4<4.5, DEATH_CROSS:HARD_BLOCK) reinforce the read. Current asymmetry R:R is 3.08 — supplementary context, not the trigger for this path.

The strongest dimensions are Value at 9.0, Sentiment at 7.3, and Quality at 6.4; the weakest are Growth at 2.5, Technical at 4.0, and Momentum at 4.4. The V9 engine flagged 2 failed gates, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of 3.08 and an engine sizing output of AVOID.

Engine reasoning is mechanically derived from pipeline gate outputs. See decision view.

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