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NDSNNordson CorporationSell5.2·$282.21-0.18%
NDSN · Why this verdict

Why Nordson (NDSN) is rated SELL

Updated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

VerdictSELL
Overall score5.2/10
ConfidenceMEDIUM
MacroRISK_OFF

Per-dimension breakdown

Value

4.3/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
P/E4.3
P/S6.6
EV/EBITDA0.4
Fwd P/E5.6
PEG4.6
Analyst target4.0
  • Forward P/E: 22.7x
  • PEG: 1.88

Quality

7.7/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
ROE5.7
ROA5.3
Gross margin7.0
Op margin9.4
Net margin9.1
Current ratio8.8
FCF quality7.4
Moat7.0
Piotroski F10.0
  • Strong margins: 18%
  • Strong Piotroski F-Score: 9/9
  • High-quality business

Growth

3.9/10data confidence 67%
ComponentSub-score
Rev growth4.6
EPS growth3.2

Momentum

3.0/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
RSI5.5
MACD0.0
OBV1.0
MA position6.0
Volume2.4
  • Volume distribution (falling OBV)
  • Above 200-day MA

Sentiment

6.5/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
Analyst rating6.8
Price target6.9
erm sentiment5.7
  • Light analyst coverage (8.0) — signal dampened

Insider

5.0/10data confidence 50%
ComponentSub-score
materiality5.0
holder change5.1
  • Insider selling (low materiality) — $1,132,585 (0.007% of mkt cap)

Peer rank

3.9/10data confidence 80%
ComponentSub-score
value rank3.4
quality rank7.6
growth rank4.5
  • Best-in-class margins

Technical

6.5/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
bollinger5.4
support resistance5.5
52w position8.5

Risk (lower is worse)

6.7/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
short interest8.4
days to cover6.0
volatility6.9
put call10.0
implied vol4.9
max pain risk3.0
beta7.1
debt equity7.3
  • Above max pain $150

Catalyst

6.0/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
erm5.0
earnings history10.0
earnings timing5.0
surprise avg3.3
dividend safety6.5
  • Strong earnings: 3B/0M
  • Dividend: 116.0%

How the verdict was assembled

Engine trigger

Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position.

Engine technical detail
verdict_path: L4:PATH_F_SELL
Passed (6)
  • INSIDER:OK
  • 8K:CLEAN
  • NEWS_EVENTS:NONE_RECENT
  • EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:72d clear
  • SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
  • MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (2)
  • MOMENTUM:3.0<4.5
  • ASYMMETRY:-0.3=NEGATIVE
Warning (0)

none

Reward-to-Risk
-0.32
Upside
-1.6%
Downside
5.0%
Sizing output
AVOID

SetupRANGE_BOUND RSI 56 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band

EdgeTEMP_HEADWIND High quality (7.7) with weak momentum (3.0)

SuitabilityMODERATE Balanced profile

Investment implication

The F-path SELL output reflects an overall score of 4.7 below the 5.6 soft trigger — multiple weakening dimensions accumulated rather than a single hard-floor breach. The strongest dimension ( Quality at 7.7) was not enough to lift the adjusted overall above the threshold. Co-occurring failed gates ( MOMENTUM:3.0<4.5, ASYMMETRY:-0.3=NEGATIVE) reinforce the read. Current asymmetry R:R is -0.32 — supplementary context, not the trigger for this path.

The strongest dimensions are Quality at 7.7, Risk (lower is worse) at 6.7, and Sentiment at 6.5; the weakest are Momentum at 3.0, Peer rank at 3.9, and Growth at 3.9. The V9 engine flagged 2 failed gates, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of -0.32 and an engine sizing output of AVOID.

Engine reasoning is mechanically derived from pipeline gate outputs. See decision view.

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