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MMSIMerit Medical Systems, Inc.Hold6.3·$87.00+7.62%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Merit Medical Systems combines a perfect four-quarter earnings beat streak averaging nearly 13% upside, a maximum Piotroski financial health score of 9 out of 9, and free-cash-flow conversion at 128% of net income — but a confirmed death cross with the 200-day moving average declining at roughly 4% per month represents a hard technical block that makes the setup best suited to patient holders rather than new buyers.

Thesis pillars

  • Perfect Earnings Execution Strong Cash ConversionDeteriorating
  • Confirmed Downtrend Blocks Near Term EntryStable
  • Maximum Financial Health ScoreStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

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Merit Medical Systems, Inc. (MMSI) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

HoldVALUE-TRAP 2/5GrowthModerate Confidence

Healthcare · Medical Instruments & Supplies

Earnings in 0 days (2026-07-30). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $87.00, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin -3.3%), Material insider selling (4 sells, 0.03% of cap).

Merit Medical Systems manufactures proprietary medical devices across two segments — cardiovascular and endoscopy — serving interventional, diagnostic, and therapeutic procedures globally. Revenue comes from direct sales to hospitals and physicians in the U.S. (60% of net sales... Read more

$87.00-6.0% A.UpsideScore 6.3/10#5 of 32 Medical Instruments & Supplies
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield3.69%
Entry $70.93(support + ATR)Stop $67.46Target $82.23(resistance)A.R:R -0.4:1
Analyst target$90.09+3.6%11 analysts
$82.23our TP
$87.00price
$90.09mean
$74
$110

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $87.00, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin -3.3%), Material insider selling (4 sells, 0.03% of cap). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 73. Downgraded from BUY WAIT — price $83.35 has reached target $82.23. No upside to wait for. Score 6.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost earnings 0.60, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 0d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Merit Medical Systems, Inc.

About Merit Medical Systems, Inc.

Merit Medical Systems distributes medical devices across two operating segments — cardiovascular and endoscopy — with U.S. net sales at 60% of consolidated net sales in 2025 and international sales at 40%, led by China as the largest non-U.S. market. The company completed five acquisitions between June 2023 and November 2025, including assets from AngioDynamics, Cook Medical Holdings, and Pentax of America, adding interventional oncology, endoscopy, and spine capabilities. International sales grew 9.1% in 2025.

Merit Medical Systems sells through dedicated direct sales forces in the U.S., targeting physicians, hospitals, and alternate-site facilities, and through more than 500 distributors in mainland China under a modified direct approach that employs company sales personnel alongside distributors. The cardiovascular segment covers peripheral intervention, cardiac intervention, custom procedural solutions, and OEM; the endoscopy segment covers gastroenterology and pulmonary products. Input cost exposure centers on petroleum-based resins and plastics sourced from a limited number of suppliers, with tariff risk on imports from Mexico, Ireland, and China adding manufacturing cost uncertainty. Sterilization of products depends on a relatively small number of third-party service providers; any disruption could delay production and sales. China's volume-based procurement policy, introduced in 2019 and affecting revenues since 2022, continues to pressure pricing in the company's largest international market.

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The CEO transition completed in October 2025 — when founder Fred Lampropoulos resigned and was succeeded by Martha Aronson, with Lampropoulos also departing the Board in January 2026 — coincides with integration demands from five acquisitions closed over 29 months. The 10-K cautions that changes in leadership could negatively impact relationships with key customers, suppliers, and investors. Integrating AngioDynamics, EndoGastric Solutions, Cook Medical Holdings, Biolife, and Pentax of America across different therapeutic areas each requires coordinating regulatory, manufacturing, and commercial functions simultaneously.

See also: Healthcare · Medical Instruments & Supplies

From Merit Medical Systems, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 11, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-31
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Jul 30, 2026today· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Recent Earnings detected in news
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin -3.3%), Material insider selling (4 sells, 0.03% of cap)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)33.8
P/E (Fwd)18.4
Mkt Cap$4.8B
EV/EBITDA16.1
Profit Mgn9.0%
ROE9.1%
Rev Growth7.5%
Beta0.51
DividendNone
Rating analysts17

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.53bullish
IV70%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.0
Support Resistance
0.4
52w Position
7.2
GatesA.R:R -0.4=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 0d<=7dDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 8.6>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST EARNINGS 0.60SEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
73 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $69.55Resistance $83.91

Price Targets

$67
$71
$82
A.Upside-6.0%
A.R:R-0.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-6.0% upside)
! Earnings in 0 days - binary event risk
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-30 (0d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is MMSI stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $87.00, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin -3.3%), Material insider selling (4 sells, 0.03% of cap). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 73. Downgraded from BUY WAIT — price $83.35 has reached target $82.23. No upside to wait for. Target $82.23 (-5.5%), stop $67.46 (−29.0%), A.R:R -0.4:1. Score 6.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the MMSI stock price target?

Take-profit target: $82.23 (-6.0% upside). Target $82.23 (-5.5%), stop $67.46 (−29.0%), A.R:R -0.4:1. Stop-loss: $67.46.

What are the risks of investing in MMSI?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin -3.3%), Material insider selling (4 sells, 0.03% of cap).

Is MMSI overvalued or undervalued?

Merit Medical Systems, Inc. trades at a P/E of 33.8 (forward 18.4). TrendMatrix value score: 5.0/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about MMSI?

17 analysts cover MMSI with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $90.

What does Merit Medical Systems, Inc. do?Merit Medical Systems manufactures proprietary medical devices across two segments — cardiovascular and endoscopy —...

Merit Medical Systems manufactures proprietary medical devices across two segments — cardiovascular and endoscopy — serving interventional, diagnostic, and therapeutic procedures globally. Revenue comes from direct sales to hospitals and physicians in the U.S. (60% of net sales in 2025) and through distributors and OEM partners internationally, with China as the largest non-U.S. market.

Related stocks: RMD (ResMed Inc.) · NVST (Envista Holdings Corporation) · STAA (STAAR Surgical Company) · TFX (Teleflex Incorporated) · ALGN (Align Technology, Inc.)
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