Mueller Industries (MLI) Q3 2026 earnings — TrendMatrix coverage
Reported
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Full disclosure · Editorial policy
Key numbers
- Adjusted EPS
- $1.00
- Estimate
- $1.15
- Surprise
- -13.1%
- Revenue (period 2026-09-26)
- $1.42B
- Score at report (before → after)
- 6.6 → 6.5/10
Revenue source: xbrl.
How the report landed
Mueller Industries (MLI) missed the $1.15 estimate with adjusted EPS of $1.00 — a large 13.1% shortfall. TrendMatrix's engine moved from Buy (Wait) (6.6/10) to Hold at 6.5/10 after the report.
Where TrendMatrix's rating stands now
TrendMatrix currently rates MLI Sell at 6.7/10.
2 of the last 4 quarters beat the estimate; this quarter's -13.1% surprise compares with a -1.0% four-quarter average. Next scheduled report: 2027-02-02.
What supports the rating
- V7 quality resilience bonus: +0.2 (Q=7.3 in RISK_OFF)
- High-quality business
What argues against it
- Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7
- Consecutive earnings misses (2)
- Negative momentum
This section and the ones below it reflect TrendMatrix’s latest engine read — they update after the report date and are not frozen to it.
The levels TrendMatrix's engine tracks
- Current price
- $55.78
- Price target
- $66.30
- Stop
- $52.24
- Upside to target
- +18.9%
- Reward-to-risk
- 3.0:1
The stock trades at 14.3× trailing but 12.0× forward earnings — consensus estimates already build in a substantial earnings recovery.
Model outputs from TrendMatrix’s engine as of 2026-10-30 — shown for context, not personalized investment advice.
MLI at TrendMatrix's latest read
Industrial quarters are order-book stories — backlog and book-to-bill color how the market reads the reported number.
- Industry
- Metal Fabrication
- Market cap
- $12.16B
- P/E (fwd)
- 12.0
- P/E (ttm)
- 14.3
- 52-week range
- $52.00–$71.12
- Off 52-week high
- 21.6%
- RSI (14)
- 31
- Volume vs avg
- 0.88×
- Score today
- 6.7/10