Moody's (MCO) Q3 2026 earnings — TrendMatrix coverage
Reported
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Full disclosure · Editorial policy
Key numbers
- Adjusted EPS
- $4.14
- Estimate
- $4.25
- Surprise
- -2.5%
- Revenue (period 2026-09-30)
- $2.02B
- Score at report (before → after)
- 5.9 → 5.9/10
Revenue source: xbrl.
How the report landed
Moody's (MCO) missed the $4.25 estimate with adjusted EPS of $4.14 — a modest 2.5% shortfall. TrendMatrix's engine moved from Hold (5.9/10) to Buy (Wait) at 5.9/10 after the report.
Where TrendMatrix's rating stands now
TrendMatrix currently rates MCO Hold at 5.4/10.
3 of the last 4 quarters beat the estimate; this quarter's -2.5% surprise compares with a +4.0% four-quarter average. Next scheduled report: 2027-02-17.
What supports the rating
- V7 flight-to-quality bonus: +0.5 (Q=8.1 in RISK_OFF)
- Sector modifier (Financial Services): +1.0
What argues against it
- Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
- Leverage penalty (D/E 2.2): -1.5
- Expensive valuation
This section and the ones below it reflect TrendMatrix’s latest engine read — they update after the report date and are not frozen to it.
The levels TrendMatrix's engine tracks
- Current price
- $486.41
- Price target
- $496.93
- Stop
- $458.41
- Upside to target
- +2.2%
- Reward-to-risk
- 0.2:1
At 29.8× trailing and 25.5× forward earnings, consensus estimates imply little change in earnings power.
Model outputs from TrendMatrix’s engine as of 2026-10-29 — shown for context, not personalized investment advice.
MCO at TrendMatrix's latest read
For financials, the EPS print is only half the story: credit costs, reserve builds, and rate sensitivity decide how a quarter actually lands.
- Industry
- Financial Data & Stock Exchanges
- Market cap
- $82.29B
- P/E (fwd)
- 25.5
- P/E (ttm)
- 29.8
- 52-week range
- $402.28–$546.88
- Off 52-week high
- 11.1%
- RSI (14)
- 62
- Volume vs avg
- 0.02×
- Score today
- 5.4/10