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MCKMcKesson CorporationSell5.7·$775.66+2.47%
MCK · Why this verdict

Why McKesson (MCK) is rated SELL

Updated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

VerdictSELL
Overall score5.7/10
ConfidenceMEDIUM
MacroNEUTRAL

Per-dimension breakdown

Value

6.4/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
P/E6.4
P/S10.0
EV/EBITDA3.3
Fwd P/E7.9
PEG5.0
Analyst target6.0
  • Forward P/E: 15.4x
  • PEG: 1.52

Quality

3.5/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
ROA3.3
Gross margin0.0
Op margin0.9
Net margin0.6
Current ratio3.4
FCF quality7.9
Moat4.9
Piotroski F6.7
  • No competitive moat

Growth

6.7/10data confidence 67%
ComponentSub-score
Rev growth4.0
EPS growth9.4

Momentum

6.2/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
RSI4.5
MACD10.0
OBV10.0
MA position5.2
Volume1.5
  • Volume accumulation (rising OBV)
  • Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+1.4%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness

Sentiment

7.7/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
LLM sentiment6.5
Analyst rating8.6
Price target7.9
  • Analyst upside: 22%

Insider

5.0/10data confidence 50%
ComponentSub-score
materiality5.0
holder change5.1
  • Insider selling (low materiality) — $6,455,028 (0.007% of mkt cap)

Peer rank

4.9/10data confidence 80%
ComponentSub-score
value rank5.8
quality rank5.0
growth rank4.0

Technical

2.4/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
bollinger0.7
support resistance1.0
52w position5.5

Risk (lower is worse)

7.8/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
short interest8.8
days to cover8.2
volatility7.1
put call7.7
implied vol5.8
max pain risk7.0
beta10.0

Catalyst

6.2/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
erm5.0
earnings history10.0
earnings timing5.0
surprise avg4.0
dividend safety5.2
news activity8.0
  • Perfect beat streak: 4Q
  • Dividend: 42.0%

How the verdict was assembled

Engine trigger

Quality below minimum threshold.

Engine technical detail
verdict_path: L1:HARD_BLOCK
Passed (7)
  • MOMENTUM:6.2>=5.5
  • ASYMMETRY:1.5>=1.5
  • INSIDER:OK
  • NEWS_EVENTS:NONE_RECENT
  • EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:58d clear
  • SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
  • MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (0)

none

Warning (1)
  • 8K_CSUITE_CHANGE:5.02 (officer departure/appointment)
Reward-to-Risk
1.50
Upside
+10.2%
Downside
6.8%
Sizing output
AVOID

SetupRECOVERY Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 56

EdgeNO_EDGE No clear edge identified

SuitabilityMODERATE Balanced profile

Investment implication

The L1 gate blocked the positive-verdict path: a hard-floor threshold was breached, so dimensional pillars — including Risk (lower is worse) at 7.8 could not lift the engine output above the verdict floor.

The strongest dimensions are Risk (lower is worse) at 7.8, Sentiment at 7.7, and Growth at 6.7; the weakest are Technical at 2.4, Quality at 3.5, and Peer rank at 4.9. The V9 engine cleared all gates with 1 warning, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of 1.50 and an engine sizing output of AVOID.

Engine reasoning is mechanically derived from pipeline gate outputs. See decision view.

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