Value
7.5/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| P/E | 6.9 |
| P/S | 8.7 |
| EV/EBITDA | 6.1 |
| Fwd P/E | 8.4 |
| PEG | 6.9 |
| Analyst target | 7.5 |
- ▸Forward P/E: 13.7x
- ▸PEG: 1.02
- ▸Attractively valued
LVS · Why this verdict
Why Las Vegas Sands (LVS) is rated SELL
Updated
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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VerdictSELL
Overall score6.7/10
ConfidenceHIGH
MacroRISK_OFF
Per-dimension breakdown
Quality
7.4/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| ROE | 10.0 |
| ROA | 6.6 |
| Gross margin | 10.0 |
| Op margin | 10.0 |
| Net margin | 6.7 |
| Current ratio | 3.7 |
| FCF quality | 6.4 |
| Moat | 7.5 |
| Rule of 40 | 5.5 |
| Piotroski F | 7.8 |
- ▸Excellent ROE: 90%
- ▸Wide economic moat
- ▸Compounder quality: strong returns + growth
- ▸Strong Piotroski F-Score: 7/9
Growth
9.4/10data confidence 67%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Rev growth | 8.8 |
| EPS growth | 10.0 |
- ▸Strong growth: 25% YoY
Momentum
3.4/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| RSI | 4.5 |
| MACD | 8.8 |
| OBV | 1.0 |
| MA position | 2.2 |
| Volume | 0.5 |
- ▸Volume distribution (falling OBV)
- ▸Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+0.3%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness
Sentiment
6.8/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| LLM sentiment | 4.0 |
| Analyst rating | 7.5 |
| Price target | 9.0 |
- ▸Analyst upside: 37%
Insider
5.0/10data confidence 50%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| materiality | 5.0 |
| holder change | 5.1 |
- ▸Insider selling (low materiality) — $3,910,660 (0.012% of mkt cap)
Peer rank
6.2/10data confidence 80%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| value rank | 3.6 |
| quality rank | 7.3 |
| growth rank | 9.1 |
- ▸Industry growth leader
Technical
5.9/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| bollinger | 6.4 |
| support resistance | 6.8 |
| 52w position | 4.4 |
Risk (lower is worse)
5.6/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| short interest | 5.3 |
| days to cover | 8.2 |
| volatility | 5.1 |
| put call | 7.9 |
| implied vol | 4.7 |
| beta | 8.1 |
| debt equity | 0.0 |
- ▸Concentration risks: 1 HIGH (10-K Item 1A — sized via position_sizing, validated via buy_confidence)
Catalyst
6.7/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| erm | 5.0 |
| earnings history | 10.0 |
| earnings timing | 5.0 |
| surprise avg | 10.0 |
| dividend safety | 5.2 |
| news activity | 5.0 |
- ▸Perfect beat streak: 4Q
- ▸Dividend: 219.0%
How the verdict was assembled
Engine trigger
Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position.
Engine technical detail
verdict_path:
L4:PATH_F_SELLPassed (5)
- ASYMMETRY:4.0>=1.5
- INSIDER:OK
- EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:45d clear
- SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
- MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (1)
- MOMENTUM:3.4<4.5
Warning (1)
- 8K_CSUITE_CHANGE:5.02 (officer departure/appointment)
Reward-to-Risk
4.01
Upside
+23.7%
Downside
5.9%
Sizing output
AVOID
SetupRECOVERY — Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 45
EdgeNO_EDGE — No clear edge identified
SuitabilityMODERATE — Balanced profile
Investment implication
The F-path SELL output reflects an overall score of 3.9 below the 5.6 soft trigger — multiple weakening dimensions accumulated rather than a single hard-floor breach. The strongest dimension ( Growth at 9.4) was not enough to lift the adjusted overall above the threshold. Co-occurring failed gates ( MOMENTUM:3.4<4.5) reinforce the read. Current asymmetry R:R is 4.01 — supplementary context, not the trigger for this path.
The strongest dimensions are Growth at 9.4, Value at 7.5, and Quality at 7.4; the weakest are Momentum at 3.4, Insider at 5.0, and Risk (lower is worse) at 5.6. The V9 engine flagged 1 failed gate with 1 warning, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of 4.01 and an engine sizing output of AVOID.