Skip to main content
LTMLATAM Airlines Group S.A.Sell7.0·$55.98+5.14%
Open full analysis

LATAM Airlines Group S.A. (LTM) Stock Analysis

Momentum Cont setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Industrials · Airlines

Sell if holding. At $55.98, A.R:R 0.6:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 4.4): -1.5; Thin upside margin: 9.6%.

LATAM Airlines Group S.A., together with its subsidiaries, provides passenger and cargo air transportation services in Chile, Argentina, Peru, Colombia, Ecuador, Brazil, the United States, other Latin American countries, the Caribbean, Europe, and Oceania. As of December 31,... Read more

$55.98+9.6% A.UpsideScore 7.0/10#1 of 12 Airlines
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield8.79%
IncomeYield2.87%(5y avg 1.14%)Payout41.67%sustainable
Stop $52.14Target $61.46(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.6:1
Analyst target$70.64+26.2%9 analysts
$61.46our TP
$55.98price
$70.64mean
$80

Sell if holding. At $55.98, A.R:R 0.6:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 4.4): -1.5; Thin upside margin: 9.6%. Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 59, MACD bullish. Score 7.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 50d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Aug 4, 202650d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Strong overall score: 7.0/10
Attractive valuation
Risks
Thin upside margin: 9.6%
Leverage penalty (D/E 4.4): -1.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)9.2
P/E (Fwd)7.8
Mkt Cap$15.6B
EV/EBITDA5.5
Profit Mgn11.2%
ROE117.6%
Rev Growth21.9%
Beta0.80
Dividend2.87%
Rating analysts12

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.00neutral
IV71%elevated
Max Pain$35-37.5% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·2 ceiling hits

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.0
Support Resistance
1.3
Gap
4.0
52w Position
5.9
GatesA.R:R 0.6 < 1.5@spotMomentum 8.2>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 50d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARMomentum ContSuitability: Moderate
RSI
59 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $46.03Resistance $57.55

Price Targets

$52
$61
A.Upside+9.8%
A.R:R0.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! asymmetry at 0.6 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-04 (50d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is LTM stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $55.98, A.R:R 0.6:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 4.4): -1.5; Thin upside margin: 9.6%. Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 59, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $52.14. Score 7.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the LTM stock price target?

Take-profit target: $61.46 (+9.6% upside). Prior stop was $52.14. Stop-loss: $52.14.

What are the risks of investing in LTM?

Thin upside margin: 9.6%; Leverage penalty (D/E 4.4): -1.5.

Is LTM overvalued or undervalued?

LATAM Airlines Group S.A. trades at a P/E of 9.2 (forward 7.8). TrendMatrix value score: 8.8/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about LTM?

12 analysts cover LTM with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $71.

What does LATAM Airlines Group S.A. do?LATAM Airlines Group S.A., together with its subsidiaries, provides passenger and cargo air transportation services in...

LATAM Airlines Group S.A., together with its subsidiaries, provides passenger and cargo air transportation services in Chile, Argentina, Peru, Colombia, Ecuador, Brazil, the United States, other Latin American countries, the Caribbean, Europe, and Oceania. As of December 31, 2024, the company provides passenger transport services to 160 destinations in 27 countries; and operated 371 fleet of aircraft. The company was formerly known as LAN Airlines S.A. and changed its name to LATAM Airlines Group S.A. in June 2012. LATAM Airlines Group S.A. was founded in 1929 and is headquartered in Santiago, Chile.

Related stocks: CPA (Copa Holdings, S.A.) · AERO (Grupo Aeromexico, S.A.B. de C.V) · UAL (United Airlines Holdings, Inc.) · DAL (Delta Air Lines, Inc.) · RYAAY (Ryanair Holdings plc)
Home Stocks LTM

Latest news

Latest News

MSN47d ago
MSN61d agoAnalyst
MarketBeat68d ago
TipRanks69d ago
TradingView69d ago
MarketBeat41d ago
Marketscreener.com48d agoLegal
MarketBeat49d agoEarnings
HDFC Sky49d ago
Marketscreener.com41d ago
Seeking Alpha41d ago
TipRanks41d ago
TipRanks41d agoEarnings
Marketscreener.com41d agoEarnings
MarketBeat47d ago
Scanx.trade61d agoEarnings
Marketscreener.com67d ago
TipRanks67d ago
MarketBeat66d agoAnalyst
Seeking Alpha72d ago
Loading more...