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LOCOEl Pollo Loco Holdings, Inc.Sell6.1·$16.03+4.29%

El Pollo Loco Holdings (LOCO) Q2 2026 earnings — TrendMatrix coverage

BEAT+7.8% vs estimateEPS $0.30 vs $0.28 estCurrent verdict Sell 6.1/10

Reported

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Full disclosure

Event detail · Q2 2026

Key numbers

Reported EPS
$0.30
Estimate
$0.28
Surprise
+7.8%
Score today
6.1/10

Revenue for this quarter isn’t shown: the reported figure hasn’t cleared TrendMatrix’s freshness and sanity checks yet, and consensus revenue isn’t tracked. EPS above is the available figure.

Report record · Q2 2026

How the report landed

El Pollo Loco Holdings (LOCO) beat the $0.28 estimate with diluted EPS of $0.30 — a clear 7.8% upside surprise.

Current read · as of 2026-08-23

Where TrendMatrix's rating stands now

TrendMatrix currently rates LOCO Sell at 6.1/10; no pre/post engine snapshot brackets this report.

4 of the last 4 quarters beat the estimate; this quarter's +7.8% surprise compares with a +22.1% four-quarter average. Next scheduled report: 2026-11-05.

What argues against it

  • Concentration risk — Geographic: greater Los Angeles area (71.9%)
  • Concentration risk — Supplier: top-3 poultry suppliers (97.0%)
  • Quality below floor (3.9 < 4.0)

This section and the ones below it reflect TrendMatrix’s latest engine read — they update after the report date and are not frozen to it.

Current engine read

The levels TrendMatrix's engine tracks

Current price
$16.03
Price target
$17.66
Stop
$14.91
Upside to target
+10.2%
Reward-to-risk
1.3:1

At 13.1× trailing and 14.5× forward earnings, consensus estimates imply little change in earnings power.

Risk check: trading volume is running 2.7× its average — elevated turnover around the report window.

Model outputs from TrendMatrix’s engine as of 2026-08-23 — shown for context, not personalized investment advice.

Consumer Cyclical context

LOCO at TrendMatrix's latest read

Cyclical consumer names live and die on demand momentum — same-quarter comps and guidance carry more weight than the headline surprise.

Industry
Restaurants
Market cap
$488.2M
P/E (fwd)
14.5
P/E (ttm)
13.1
52-week range
$8.98$17.40
Off 52-week high
7.9%
RSI (14)
44
Volume vs avg
2.72×
Score today
6.1/10

Earnings figures are sourced from TrendMatrix’s pipeline (EPS: existing earnings extraction; revenue: SEC XBRL company facts where available, yfinance-provisional otherwise). Not a buy/sell rating, a price target, or investment advice — see the current verdict on the stock’s main page for TrendMatrix’s live read.

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