Value
7.4/10data confidence 83%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| P/S | 9.6 |
| EV/EBITDA | 0.0 |
| Fwd P/E | 8.6 |
| PEG | 10.0 |
| Analyst target | 9.0 |
- ▸Forward P/E: 13.1x
- ▸PEG: 0.04
- ▸Attractively valued
LMRI · Why this verdict
Why Lumexa Imaging Holdings (LMRI) is rated SELL
Updated
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy
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VerdictSELL
Overall score5.0/10
ConfidenceMEDIUM
MacroNEUTRAL
TrendMatrix Research · core thesis
Engine thesis — one sentence
The shares screen at a forward P/E of 10.5x with analyst consensus implying roughly 84% upside, but a near-78% earnings miss in the only available quarter, no competitive moat, 13% short interest, and a sub-$1 billion market capitalization that restricts institutional access combine to create a speculative profile with substantial unresolved execution risk.
Falsifiable statement — pillar-level invalidators below. Engine-derived; not personalized advice.
Thesis pillars
| Pillar | Expectation | Trend |
|---|---|---|
At a forward P/E of 10.5x and a PEG ratio of 0.03, the shares screen as attractively valued on near-term earnings estimates; the counterweight is a quality profile marked by no competitive moat and meaningful quality concerns, leaving open whether the low multiple is an opportunity or a reflection of justified skepticism. Valuation breakdown | Forward P/E multiple expands toward 16x over the next 12 months as the company establishes a credible earnings delivery record and quality metrics improve. | →Stable |
| CounterA single-quarter EPS miss of nearly 78% raises serious doubt about whether forward estimates are reliable; if consensus revises downward sharply, the apparent discount compresses to nothing and the cheap multiple is revealed as a value trap. | ||
Analyst consensus targets imply approximately 84% upside from the current share price, and the overall sell-side sentiment reading is broadly favorable, pointing to meaningful potential price appreciation if near-term fundamentals improve. Sentiment breakdown | Share price closes at least 30% of the gap toward the analyst consensus target over 12 months as earnings visibility improves. | →Stable |
| CounterCoverage is explicitly thin and the data flags that this dampens the signal; with few analysts, a single estimate cut could substantially narrow implied upside and shift the narrative from opportunity to value trap. | ||
The only available earnings quarter shows an actual result of $0.01 per share against a $0.05 estimate — a miss of roughly 78% — leaving the delivery track record entirely unestablished and raising material doubt about the reliability of forward earnings projections. Earnings | At least two consecutive quarters of positive EPS surprises exceeding 5% establish a reliable delivery pattern and support the bullish consensus target. | ↑Improving |
| CounterIf the company demonstrates consistent under-promising and over-delivering in subsequent quarters, the single large miss is reclassified as an isolated event, substantially strengthening the case for the attractively priced consensus target. | ||
At $0.90 billion in market capitalization, the company sits below the $1 billion threshold commonly applied by institutional investors, restricting the potential buyer base and limiting broad price discovery at the current level. Warnings | Market capitalization sustainably exceeds $1 billion over the next 12 months as the share price appreciates on improving fundamentals, expanding the addressable investor universe. | ↑Improving |
| CounterIf the stock re-rates higher on better-than-expected earnings, the market cap constraint resolves naturally; the risk then shifts entirely to fundamental execution rather than structural size exclusion. | ||
At a forward P/E of 10.5x and a PEG ratio of 0.03, the shares screen as attractively valued on near-term earnings estimates; the counterweight is a quality profile marked by no competitive moat and meaningful quality concerns, leaving open whether the low multiple is an opportunity or a reflection of justified skepticism.
→StableValuation breakdown
- Expectation
- Forward P/E multiple expands toward 16x over the next 12 months as the company establishes a credible earnings delivery record and quality metrics improve.
CounterA single-quarter EPS miss of nearly 78% raises serious doubt about whether forward estimates are reliable; if consensus revises downward sharply, the apparent discount compresses to nothing and the cheap multiple is revealed as a value trap.
Analyst consensus targets imply approximately 84% upside from the current share price, and the overall sell-side sentiment reading is broadly favorable, pointing to meaningful potential price appreciation if near-term fundamentals improve.
→StableSentiment breakdown
- Expectation
- Share price closes at least 30% of the gap toward the analyst consensus target over 12 months as earnings visibility improves.
CounterCoverage is explicitly thin and the data flags that this dampens the signal; with few analysts, a single estimate cut could substantially narrow implied upside and shift the narrative from opportunity to value trap.
The only available earnings quarter shows an actual result of $0.01 per share against a $0.05 estimate — a miss of roughly 78% — leaving the delivery track record entirely unestablished and raising material doubt about the reliability of forward earnings projections.
↑ImprovingEarnings
- Expectation
- At least two consecutive quarters of positive EPS surprises exceeding 5% establish a reliable delivery pattern and support the bullish consensus target.
CounterIf the company demonstrates consistent under-promising and over-delivering in subsequent quarters, the single large miss is reclassified as an isolated event, substantially strengthening the case for the attractively priced consensus target.
At $0.90 billion in market capitalization, the company sits below the $1 billion threshold commonly applied by institutional investors, restricting the potential buyer base and limiting broad price discovery at the current level.
↑ImprovingWarnings
- Expectation
- Market capitalization sustainably exceeds $1 billion over the next 12 months as the share price appreciates on improving fundamentals, expanding the addressable investor universe.
CounterIf the stock re-rates higher on better-than-expected earnings, the market cap constraint resolves naturally; the risk then shifts entirely to fundamental execution rather than structural size exclusion.
Per-dimension breakdown
Quality
2.6/10data confidence 86%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Gross margin | 0.0 |
| Op margin | 1.3 |
| Net margin | 0.0 |
| Current ratio | 5.3 |
| Moat | 4.4 |
| Piotroski F | 4.4 |
- ▸No competitive moat
- ▸Quality concerns
Growth
3.8/10data confidence 33%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Rev growth | 3.8 |
Momentum
6.7/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| RSI | 3.9 |
| MACD | 9.6 |
| OBV | 10.0 |
| MA position | 9.0 |
| Volume | 0.8 |
- ▸Overbought (RSI 83)
- ▸Volume accumulation (rising OBV)
- ▸Above 200-day MA
Sentiment
6.4/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| LLM sentiment | 5.0 |
| Analyst rating | 5.0 |
| Price target | 9.6 |
- ▸Analyst upside: 52%
Insider
7.3/10data confidence 75%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| materiality | 5.0 |
| holder change | 10.0 |
| notable moves | 7.0 |
- ▸No net insider activity — $0 (0.000% of mkt cap)
- ▸Institutions accumulating
Peer rank
4.2/10data confidence 80%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| value rank | 8.9 |
| quality rank | 4.3 |
| growth rank | 2.5 |
Technical
1.5/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| bollinger | 0.8 |
| support resistance | 1.8 |
| 52w position | 1.9 |
Risk (lower is worse)
4.7/10data confidence 80%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| short interest | 6.3 |
| days to cover | 6.0 |
| volatility | 2.5 |
| debt equity | 3.8 |
- ▸Concentration risks: 1 HIGH (10-K Item 1A — sized via position_sizing, validated via buy_confidence)
Catalyst
3.0/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| erm | 5.0 |
| earnings history | 0.0 |
| earnings timing | 5.0 |
| surprise avg | 0.0 |
| news activity | 5.0 |
- ▸Earnings in 12 days
How the verdict was assembled
Engine trigger
Quality below minimum threshold.
Engine technical detail
verdict_path:
L1:HARD_BLOCK:QUALITY_FLOORPassed (6)
- MOMENTUM:6.7>=5.5
- ASYMMETRY:2.2>=1.5
- INSIDER:OK
- 8K:CLEAN
- SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
- MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (0)
none
Warning (2)
- DEATH_CROSS:momentum=6.7>=5.0 recovering
- EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:12d<=14d (soft)
Reward-to-Risk
2.23
Upside
+32.3%
Downside
14.5%
Sizing output
AVOID
SetupRecovery — Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 83
EdgeInst Constrain — Small cap ($1.1B) below institutional reach
SuitabilitySpeculative — Drawdown -40% (>40% off 52w high)
Investment implication
The SELL_IF_HOLDING verdict reflects clean gate clearance against Value at 7.4 and asymmetric R:R of 2.23.
The strongest dimensions are Value at 7.4, Insider at 7.3, and Momentum at 6.7; the weakest are Technical at 1.5, Quality at 2.6, and Catalyst at 3.0. The V9 engine cleared all gates with 2 warnings, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of 2.23 and an engine sizing output of AVOID.
What would invalidate the thesis
Falsifying conditions — when triggered, the corresponding pillar's thesis is invalidated.
- P1Forward Valuation Quality Gap
Trip ifForward EPS consensus falls below $0.47 for 2 consecutive quarters, implying a forward P/E above 20x at the current share price and eliminating the valuation discount.
- P2Analyst Consensus Large Implied Upside
Trip ifAnalyst consensus price target falls below $12.00, reducing implied upside from approximately 84% to below 28%.
- P3Unproven Earnings Execution
Trip ifEPS surprise exceeds 5% for 2 consecutive quarters, establishing a reliable delivery pattern that falsifies the unproven-execution concern.
- P4Sub Billion Cap Limits Access
Trip ifMarket cap exceeds $1 billion for 2 consecutive calendar quarters, removing the institutional size restriction.