Value
4.5/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| P/E | 3.9 |
| P/S | 0.0 |
| EV/EBITDA | 0.0 |
| Fwd P/E | 5.7 |
| PEG | 10.0 |
| Analyst target | 4.0 |
- ▸Forward P/E: 22.6x
- ▸PEG: 0.48
LGND · Why this verdict
Why Ligand Pharmaceuticals Incorpor (LGND) is rated HOLD
Updated
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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VerdictHOLD
Overall score6.0/10
ConfidenceMEDIUM
MacroNEUTRAL
Per-dimension breakdown
Quality
7.7/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| ROE | 5.7 |
| ROA | 3.5 |
| Gross margin | 10.0 |
| Op margin | 10.0 |
| Net margin | 10.0 |
| Current ratio | 5.0 |
| FCF quality | 6.6 |
| Moat | 7.6 |
| Rule of 40 | 9.5 |
| Piotroski F | 8.9 |
- ▸Strong margins: 56%
- ▸Wide economic moat
- ▸Compounder quality: strong returns + growth
- ▸Rule of 40: 66 (elite)
Growth
8.0/10data confidence 67%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Rev growth | 6.0 |
| EPS growth | 10.0 |
Momentum
6.6/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| RSI | 4.0 |
| MACD | 10.0 |
| OBV | 10.0 |
| MA position | 9.0 |
| Volume | 0.0 |
- ▸Overbought (RSI 80)
- ▸Volume accumulation (rising OBV)
- ▸Above 200-day MA
Sentiment
5.4/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Analyst rating | 5.0 |
| Price target | 6.3 |
| erm sentiment | 5.0 |
Insider
5.0/10data confidence 50%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| materiality | 5.0 |
| holder change | 5.1 |
- ▸No net insider activity — $0 (0.000% of mkt cap)
Peer rank
4.2/10data confidence 80%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| value rank | 3.5 |
| quality rank | 9.0 |
| growth rank | 4.5 |
- ▸Superior ROE vs peers
- ▸Best-in-class margins
Technical
3.9/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| bollinger | 1.2 |
| support resistance | 0.7 |
| 52w position | 9.7 |
Risk (lower is worse)
5.4/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| short interest | 5.1 |
| days to cover | 2.8 |
| volatility | 5.6 |
| put call | 10.0 |
| implied vol | 2.0 |
| max pain risk | 3.0 |
| beta | 6.8 |
| debt equity | 8.2 |
- ▸High IV: 68%
- ▸Above max pain $175
- ▸Concentration risks: 2 HIGH (10-K Item 1A — sized via position_sizing, validated via buy_confidence)
Catalyst
6.7/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| erm | 5.0 |
| earnings history | 6.7 |
| earnings timing | 5.0 |
| surprise avg | 10.0 |
- ▸Strong earnings: 3B/1M
How the verdict was assembled
Engine trigger
Downgraded from BUY WAIT — price $255.00 has reached target $253.85. No upside to wait for.
Engine technical detail
verdict_path:
L4:PATH_C2_GARP_WAIT|SANITY:WAIT+price>=TPPassed (6)
- MOMENTUM:6.6>=5.5
- INSIDER:OK
- NEWS_EVENTS:NONE_RECENT
- EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:52d clear
- SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
- MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (1)
- ASYMMETRY:-0.3=NEGATIVE
Warning (1)
- 8K_FLAG:1.02
Reward-to-Risk
-0.35
Upside
-5.3%
Downside
15.0%
Sizing output
AVOID
SetupUNKNOWN — No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed
EdgeNO_EDGE — No clear edge identified
SuitabilityMODERATE — Balanced profile
Investment implication
The C-path quality+growth combination triggered the HOLD_IF_HOLDING verdict: quality 7.7 and growth 8.0 both clear their thresholds, with asymmetric R:R of -0.35 supporting the read.
The strongest dimensions are Growth at 8.0, Quality at 7.7, and Catalyst at 6.7; the weakest are Technical at 3.9, Peer rank at 4.2, and Value at 4.5. The V9 engine flagged 1 failed gate with 1 warning, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of -0.35 and an engine sizing output of AVOID.