Value
7.4/10data confidence 83%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| P/S | 9.6 |
| EV/EBITDA | 7.3 |
| Fwd P/E | 9.2 |
| PEG | 7.0 |
| Analyst target | 4.0 |
- ▸Forward P/E: 10.8x
- ▸PEG: 0.99
- ▸Attractively valued
KHC · Why this verdict
Why The Kraft Heinz (KHC) is rated SELL
Updated
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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VerdictSELL
Overall score4.6/10
ConfidenceMEDIUM
MacroNEUTRAL
Per-dimension breakdown
Quality
3.9/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| ROE | 0.0 |
| ROA | 2.3 |
| Gross margin | 2.8 |
| Op margin | 8.3 |
| Net margin | 0.0 |
| Current ratio | 4.6 |
| Moat | 3.9 |
| Piotroski F | 8.9 |
- ▸No competitive moat
- ▸Strong Piotroski F-Score: 8/9
Growth
3.7/10data confidence 67%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Rev growth | 2.7 |
| EPS growth | 4.7 |
Momentum
3.4/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| RSI | 4.5 |
| MACD | 2.2 |
| OBV | 1.0 |
| MA position | 6.0 |
| Volume | 3.5 |
- ▸Volume distribution (falling OBV)
- ▸Below 200-MA, MA slope -2.0%/30d — confirmed downtrend
Sentiment
4.5/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| LLM sentiment | 3.5 |
| Analyst rating | 5.0 |
| Price target | 5.1 |
- ▸LLM news sentiment: -0.30 (n=2)
Insider
5.3/10data confidence 50%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| materiality | 5.5 |
| holder change | 5.1 |
- ▸Insider buying (low materiality) — $4,999,808 (0.019% of mkt cap)
Peer rank
1.5/10data confidence 80%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| value rank | 2.7 |
| quality rank | 0.2 |
| growth rank | 3.1 |
Technical
4.8/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| bollinger | 3.4 |
| support resistance | 4.0 |
| 52w position | 7.1 |
Risk (lower is worse)
6.0/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| short interest | 5.1 |
| days to cover | 4.4 |
| volatility | 5.8 |
| put call | 7.8 |
| implied vol | 4.2 |
| max pain risk | 3.0 |
| beta | 10.0 |
| debt equity | 8.0 |
| news risk | 6.0 |
- ▸Above max pain $18
- ▸Concentration risks: 2 HIGH (10-K Item 1A — sized via position_sizing, validated via buy_confidence)
Catalyst
6.8/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| erm | 6.5 |
| earnings history | 10.0 |
| earnings timing | 5.0 |
| surprise avg | 7.3 |
| dividend safety | 6.0 |
| news activity | 6.0 |
- ▸Perfect beat streak: 4Q
- ▸Dividend: 709.0%
How the verdict was assembled
Engine trigger
Quality below minimum threshold.
Engine technical detail
verdict_path:
L1:HARD_BLOCKPassed (5)
- INSIDER:OK
- NEWS_EVENTS:NONE_RECENT
- EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:51d clear
- SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
- MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (3)
- MOMENTUM:3.4<4.5
- ASYMMETRY:-1.6=NEGATIVE
- DEATH_CROSS:HARD_BLOCK
Warning (1)
- 8K_CSUITE_CHANGE:5.02 (officer departure/appointment)
Reward-to-Risk
-1.60
Upside
-9.5%
Downside
6.0%
Sizing output
AVOID
SetupRANGE_BOUND — RSI 55 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band
EdgeNO_EDGE — No clear edge identified
SuitabilityMODERATE — Balanced profile
Investment implication
The L1 gate blocked the positive-verdict path: a hard-floor threshold was breached, so dimensional pillars — including Value at 7.4 could not lift the engine output above the verdict floor. Failed gate signal: MOMENTUM:3.4<4.5.
The strongest dimensions are Value at 7.4, Catalyst at 6.8, and Risk (lower is worse) at 6.0; the weakest are Peer rank at 1.5, Momentum at 3.4, and Growth at 3.7. The V9 engine flagged 3 failed gates with 1 warning, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of -1.60 and an engine sizing output of AVOID.