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KDKKodiak AI, Inc.Sell6.0·$6.11-0.49%
KDK · Why this verdict

Why Kodiak AI (KDK) is rated SELL

Updated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

VerdictSELL
Overall score6.0/10
ConfidenceMEDIUM
MacroNEUTRAL

Per-dimension breakdown

Value

9.0/10data confidence 33%
ComponentSub-score
Analyst target9.0
  • Attractively valued

Quality

4.4/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
ROA0.0
Gross margin10.0
Net margin0.0
Current ratio9.3
FCF quality0.0
Moat7.0
Rule of 403.0
Piotroski F5.6
  • Cash-burning: FCF -2088% of revenue
  • Rule of 40: -2064 (fail)

Growth

8.6/10data confidence 33%
ComponentSub-score
Rev growth8.6
  • Strong growth: 24% YoY

Momentum

2.9/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
RSI3.0
MACD2.2
OBV1.0
MA position1.0
Volume7.5
  • Capitulation risk (RSI 19, below 200MA)
  • Volume distribution (falling OBV)
  • Below 200-MA, MA slope -6.5%/30d — confirmed downtrend

Sentiment

7.9/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
LLM sentiment6.5
Analyst rating7.3
Price target10.0
  • Light analyst coverage (5.0) — signal dampened
  • Analyst upside: 102%

Insider

5.0/10data confidence 50%
ComponentSub-score
materiality5.0
holder change5.1
  • No net insider activity — $0 (0.000% of mkt cap)

Peer rank

5.3/10data confidence 80%
ComponentSub-score
value rank5.0
quality rank5.0
growth rank6.2

Technical

5.6/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
bollinger8.1
support resistance8.6
52w position0.6
gap5.0

Risk (lower is worse)

3.5/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
short interest6.8
days to cover4.1
volatility0.0
put call0.0
implied vol0.2
beta10.0
  • Elevated put/call: 4.33
  • High IV: 79%

Catalyst

3.6/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
erm5.0
earnings history0.0
earnings timing5.0
surprise avg0.0
news activity8.0
  • Earnings concerns: 0B/3M

How the verdict was assembled

Engine trigger

Mixed signals. Hold existing position. | News modifier -2 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → SELL_IF_HOLDING).

Engine technical detail
verdict_path: L4:PATH_F_HOLD_DEFAULT|L3:NEWS_MOD=-2
Passed (7)
  • ASYMMETRY:5.7>=1.5
  • INSIDER:OK
  • 8K:CLEAN
  • NEWS_EVENTS:NONE_RECENT
  • EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:55d clear
  • SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
  • MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (2)
  • MOMENTUM:2.9<4.5
  • DEATH_CROSS:HARD_BLOCK
Warning (0)

none

Reward-to-Risk
5.65
Upside
+75.7%
Downside
13.4%
Sizing output
AVOID

SetupOVERSOLD_BOUNCE Oversold RSI 19, near Bollinger lower, volume surge

EdgeNO_EDGE No clear edge identified

SuitabilityAGGRESSIVE MCap $1.2B<$5B

Investment implication

The default F-path HOLD fired without any positive-conviction gate triggering — no momentum acceleration, no quality+value crossover, no setup recognition. Highest-clear gate: ASYMMETRY:5.7>=1.5. Top dim: Value at 9.0; weakest: Momentum at 2.9. The engine's read is one of pattern absence — no directional conviction in either direction at current asymmetry.

The strongest dimensions are Value at 9.0, Growth at 8.6, and Sentiment at 7.9; the weakest are Momentum at 2.9, Risk (lower is worse) at 3.5, and Catalyst at 3.6. The V9 engine flagged 2 failed gates, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of 5.65 and an engine sizing output of AVOID.

Engine reasoning is mechanically derived from pipeline gate outputs. See decision view.

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