Value
8.3/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| P/E | 8.9 |
| P/S | 9.9 |
| EV/EBITDA | 5.5 |
| Fwd P/E | 9.5 |
| PEG | 9.8 |
| Analyst target | 6.0 |
- ▸Forward P/E: 8.6x
- ▸PEG: 0.54
- ▸Attractively valued
KBR · Why this verdict
Why KBR (KBR) is rated SELL
Updated
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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VerdictSELL
Overall score4.9/10
ConfidenceMEDIUM
MacroNEUTRAL
Per-dimension breakdown
Quality
3.9/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| ROE | 9.7 |
| ROA | 3.3 |
| Gross margin | 0.0 |
| Op margin | 2.7 |
| Net margin | 2.6 |
| Current ratio | 4.5 |
| FCF quality | 4.8 |
| Moat | 4.2 |
| Piotroski F | 3.3 |
- ▸Excellent ROE: 29%
- ▸Earnings quality warning: 62% FCF/NI
- ▸No competitive moat
- ▸Weak Piotroski F-Score: 3/9
Growth
0.8/10data confidence 67%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Rev growth | 1.3 |
| EPS growth | 0.3 |
- ▸Declining revenue: -5%
Momentum
5.8/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| RSI | 2.3 |
| MACD | 10.0 |
| OBV | 10.0 |
| MA position | 6.0 |
| Volume | 0.7 |
- ▸Overbought bear rally (RSI 81)
- ▸Volume accumulation (rising OBV)
- ▸Below 200-MA, MA slope -4.6%/30d — confirmed downtrend
Sentiment
6.4/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| LLM sentiment | 5.8 |
| Analyst rating | 5.0 |
| Price target | 8.7 |
- ▸Analyst upside: 31%
Insider
6.5/10data confidence 75%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| materiality | 6.5 |
| insider conviction | 8.0 |
| holder change | 5.1 |
- ▸Modest insider buying — $945,166 (0.021% of mkt cap)
Peer rank
4.1/10data confidence 80%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| value rank | 9.1 |
| quality rank | 6.3 |
| growth rank | 1.0 |
- ▸Attractive P/E vs peers
Technical
2.1/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| bollinger | 1.9 |
| support resistance | 1.7 |
| 52w position | 2.7 |
Risk (lower is worse)
5.6/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| short interest | 7.0 |
| days to cover | 7.2 |
| volatility | 3.1 |
| put call | 4.5 |
| implied vol | 2.0 |
| max pain risk | 7.0 |
| beta | 10.0 |
| debt equity | 3.5 |
| news risk | 6.0 |
- ▸High IV: 68%
- ▸Concentration risks: 1 HIGH (10-K Item 1A — sized via position_sizing, validated via buy_confidence)
Catalyst
6.3/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| erm | 5.0 |
| earnings history | 10.0 |
| earnings timing | 5.0 |
| surprise avg | 5.0 |
| dividend safety | 7.0 |
| news activity | 6.0 |
- ▸Perfect beat streak: 4Q
- ▸Dividend: 186.0%
How the verdict was assembled
Engine trigger
Quality below minimum threshold.
Engine technical detail
verdict_path:
L1:HARD_BLOCKPassed (7)
- MOMENTUM:5.8>=5.5
- INSIDER:OK
- 8K:CLEAN
- NEWS_EVENTS:NONE_RECENT
- EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:57d clear
- SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
- MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (1)
- ASYMMETRY:0.9<1.5@spot
Warning (1)
- DEATH_CROSS:momentum=5.8>=5.0 recovering
Reward-to-Risk
0.93
Upside
+13.9%
Downside
15.0%
Sizing output
AVOID
SetupRECOVERY — Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 81
EdgeNO_EDGE — No clear edge identified
SuitabilityAGGRESSIVE — MCap $4.5B<$5B
Investment implication
The L1 gate blocked the positive-verdict path: a hard-floor threshold was breached, so dimensional pillars — including Value at 8.3 could not lift the engine output above the verdict floor. Failed gate signal: ASYMMETRY:0.9<1.5@spot.
The strongest dimensions are Value at 8.3, Insider at 6.5, and Sentiment at 6.4; the weakest are Growth at 0.8, Technical at 2.1, and Quality at 3.9. The V9 engine flagged 1 failed gate with 1 warning, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of 0.93 and an engine sizing output of AVOID.