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KAROKarooooo Ltd.Buy Wait6.7·$46.33-1.68%
KARO · Why this verdict

Why Karooooo (KARO) is rated BUY WAIT

Updated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

VerdictBUY WAIT
Overall score6.7/10
ConfidenceMEDIUM
MacroRISK_OFF

Per-dimension breakdown

Value

8.0/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
P/E5.3
P/S10.0
EV/EBITDA10.0
Fwd P/E7.3
PEG10.0
Analyst target6.0
  • Forward P/E: 17.0x
  • PEG: 0.42
  • Attractively valued

Quality

8.8/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
ROE10.0
ROA10.0
Gross margin9.6
Op margin9.3
Net margin9.1
Current ratio4.2
FCF quality10.0
Moat8.2
Rule of 408.7
Piotroski F8.9
  • Excellent ROE: 31%
  • Strong margins: 18%
  • Excellent cash conversion: 192% FCF/NI
  • Wide economic moat

Growth

8.6/10data confidence 67%
ComponentSub-score
Rev growth7.2
EPS growth10.0

Momentum

2.3/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
RSI4.5
MACD3.6
OBV1.0
MA position2.2
Volume0.4
  • Volume distribution (falling OBV)
  • Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+0.5%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness

Sentiment

7.1/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
Analyst rating7.3
Price target8.5
erm sentiment5.0
  • Light analyst coverage (5.0) — signal dampened
  • Analyst upside: 29%

Insider

5.0/10data confidence 50%

Peer rank

5.3/10data confidence 80%
ComponentSub-score
value rank7.7
quality rank7.5
growth rank5.9
  • Superior ROE vs peers

Technical

6.0/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
bollinger7.2
support resistance5.9
52w position5.0

Risk (lower is worse)

7.4/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
short interest9.2
days to cover9.9
volatility1.8
beta7.6
debt equity8.6

Catalyst

5.0/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
erm5.0
earnings history6.7
earnings timing5.0
surprise avg3.3
dividend safety5.0
  • Strong earnings: 3B/1M
  • Dividend: 586.0%

How the verdict was assembled

Engine trigger

Growth is cheap relative to earnings, but the technical setup has not yet produced a breakout above resistance (PEG 0.42, quality 8.8/10, growth 8.6/10).

Engine technical detail
verdict_path: L4:PATH_C2_GARP_WAIT|ENTRY_STICKY:WITHIN_BAND
Passed (6)
  • INSIDER:OK
  • 8K:CLEAN
  • NEWS_EVENTS:NONE_RECENT
  • EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:43d clear
  • SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
  • MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (2)
  • MOMENTUM:2.3<4.5
  • ASYMMETRY:1.4<1.5@spot
Warning (0)

none

Reward-to-Risk
1.44
Upside
+12.4%
Downside
8.6%
Sizing output
STARTER

SetupUNKNOWN No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed

EdgeTEMP_HEADWIND High quality (8.8) with weak momentum (2.3)

SuitabilityAGGRESSIVE MCap $1.5B<$5B

Investment implication

The C-path quality+growth combination triggered the STRONG_BUY_WAIT verdict: quality 8.8 and growth 8.6 both clear their thresholds, with asymmetric R:R of 1.44 supporting the read.

The strongest dimensions are Quality at 8.8, Growth at 8.6, and Value at 8.0; the weakest are Momentum at 2.3, Catalyst at 5.0, and Insider at 5.0. The V9 engine flagged 2 failed gates, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of 1.44 and an engine sizing output of STARTER.

Engine reasoning is mechanically derived from pipeline gate outputs. See decision view.

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