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INMDInMode Ltd.Hold5.5·$13.39
INMD · Why this verdict

Why InMode (INMD) is rated HOLD

Updated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

VerdictHOLD
Overall score5.5/10
ConfidenceMEDIUM
MacroRISK_OFF

Thesis pillars

InMode combines strong 21% margins and an 8/9 Piotroski score with a forward P/E of 10.2x and PEG of 0.76, a cheap valuation for a high-margin business.

→Stable
Quality breakdown
Expectation
Margins stay near 21% and forward P/E remains near 10x as earnings are delivered.

CounterEarnings quality is flagged, with free cash flow only 61% of net income, and the Rule of 40 score of 13 fails.

Growth is weak: quarterly revenue of $95.6M is flat versus $95.6M a year earlier, and earnings estimates fell 33.3% over 30 days.

↓Deteriorating
Catalyst breakdown
Expectation
Quarterly revenue grows above $100M and estimate revisions turn positive.

CounterWithout growth, a low P/E may be a value trap, and falling estimates suggest further earnings cuts.

At $13.97 the stock is 1.6% above the $13.74 analyst target, with 5.0% downside to the stop, so analysts see no remaining upside.

↑Improving
Targets
Expectation
Analysts raise targets above $13.97 as earnings stabilize.

CounterWith the price above target and estimates falling, target cuts are more likely than raises.

InMode beat estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters, including $0.35 against a $0.33 estimate in August 2026, though the average surprise is only +1.7%.

↓Deteriorating
Earnings
Expectation
The November 11 report meets or beats the consensus estimate.

CounterThe May 2026 miss of 16% and a long history of misses in 2024 and 2025 show results are inconsistent.

The stock is below its 200-day average with a beta of 2.03, 74% implied volatility and a momentum score of 5.1/10, though on-balance volume is rising.

Tripped↓Deteriorating
Momentum breakdown
Expectation
Price reclaims the 200-day moving average while on-balance volume keeps rising.

CounterA beta above 2 magnifies market declines, and the stock is below its long-term trend.

Per-dimension breakdown

Value

8.2/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
P/E8.8
P/S8.9
EV/EBITDA9.4
Fwd P/E9.3
PEG8.6
Analyst target5.0
  • ▸Forward P/E: 9.7x
  • ▸PEG: 0.73
  • ▸Attractively valued

Quality

6.2/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
ROE4.1
ROA4.1
Gross margin10.0
Op margin5.1
Net margin10.0
Current ratio5.0
FCF quality4.7
Moat6.6
Rule of 403.0
Piotroski F8.9
  • ▸Strong margins: 21%
  • ▸Earnings quality warning: 61% FCF/NI
  • ▸Rule of 40: 13 (fail)
  • ▸Strong Piotroski F-Score: 8/9

Growth

3.6/10data confidence 67%
ComponentSub-score
Rev growth2.5
EPS growth4.7

Momentum

1.6/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
RSI3.0
MACD2.7
OBV1.0
MA position1.5
Volume0.0
  • ▸Capitulation risk (RSI 19, below 200MA)
  • ▸Volume distribution (falling OBV)
  • ▸Below 200-MA, MA slope flat

Sentiment

4.6/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
Analyst rating5.0
Price target7.8
erm sentiment0.0
  • ▸Analyst upside: 21%
  • ▸Estimates falling as sentiment proxy (-33.3%)

Insider

4.8/10data confidence 75%
ComponentSub-score
materiality5.0
holder change4.5
notable moves5.0
  • ▸No net insider activity — $0 (0.000% of mkt cap)

Peer rank

8.0/10data confidence 80%
ComponentSub-score
value rank8.7
quality rank8.5
growth rank5.0
  • ▸Best in class
  • ▸Attractive P/E vs peers
  • ▸Best-in-class margins

Technical

8.4/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
bollinger10.0
support resistance9.3
52w position6.0

Risk (lower is worse)

5.4/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
short interest7.8
days to cover5.9
volatility9.1
put call0.0
implied vol1.6
beta3.2
debt equity10.0
  • ▸Elevated put/call: 3.73
  • ▸High IV: 71%

Catalyst

4.0/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
erm1.0
earnings history6.7
earnings timing5.0
surprise avg3.4
  • ▸Estimates down -33.3% (30d)
  • ▸Strong earnings: 3B/1M
  • ▸Earnings in 12 days

How the verdict was assembled

Engine trigger

Maintain position. Not compelling to add more.

Engine technical detail
verdict_path: L4:PATH_F_HOLD
Passed (5)
  • INSIDER:OK
  • 8K:CLEAN
  • NEWS_EVENTS:NONE_RECENT
  • SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
  • MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (2)
  • MOMENTUM:1.6<4.5
  • ASYMMETRY:0.5<1.5@spot
Warning (1)
  • EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:12d<=14d (soft)
Reward-to-Risk
0.52
Upside
+2.6%
Downside
5.0%
Sizing output
AVOID

Setup— — No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed

EdgeCatalyst-Driven — Earnings in 12d with 3/4 beat streak

SuitabilityAggressive — Beta 2.03>1.3, MCap $0.8B<$5B

Investment implication

None of the engine's positive-conviction paths (C-quality, D-momentum) triggered — the F-path HOLD reflects balanced signals. Strongest-cleared gate: INSIDER:OK. Top dim: Technical at 8.4; weakest: Momentum at 1.6. No conviction either direction.

The strongest dimensions are Technical at 8.4, Value at 8.2, and Peer rank at 8.0; the weakest are Momentum at 1.6, Growth at 3.6, and Catalyst at 4.0. The V9 engine flagged 2 failed gates with 1 warning, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of 0.52 and an engine sizing output of AVOID.

What would invalidate the thesis

Falsifying conditions — when triggered, the corresponding pillar's thesis is invalidated.

  • P1Best In Class Margins Valuation

    Trip ifNet margin falls below 15% from the current 21%.

  • P2Weak Growth Falling Estimates

    Trip ifQuarterly revenue falls below $85M from the latest $95.6M.

  • P3Price Above Analyst Target

    Trip ifAnalyst target falls below $12.00 from the current $13.74.

  • P4Earnings Beat Streak

    Trip ifEPS surprise stays below 0% for 2 consecutive quarters.

  • P5High Beta Below Long Term TrendTripped

    Trip ifStock price falls below the $13.63 stop level from the current $13.97.

Engine reasoning is mechanically derived from pipeline gate outputs. See decision view.

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