Value
7.8/10data confidence 83%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| P/S | 10.0 |
| EV/EBITDA | 5.9 |
| Fwd P/E | 9.9 |
| PEG | 10.0 |
| Analyst target | 3.0 |
- ▸Forward P/E: 5.4x
- ▸PEG: 0.02
- ▸Attractively valued
HMC · Why this verdict
Why Honda Motor Company (HMC) is rated SELL
Updated
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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VerdictSELL
Overall score5.0/10
ConfidenceMEDIUM
MacroNEUTRAL
Per-dimension breakdown
Quality
1.4/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| ROE | 0.0 |
| ROA | 0.0 |
| Gross margin | 0.0 |
| Op margin | 0.0 |
| Net margin | 0.0 |
| Current ratio | 4.8 |
| FCF quality | 0.0 |
| Moat | 3.6 |
| Piotroski F | 4.4 |
- ▸Cash-burning: FCF -6% of revenue
- ▸No competitive moat
- ▸Quality concerns
Growth
4.6/10data confidence 33%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Rev growth | 4.6 |
Momentum
5.5/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| RSI | 3.5 |
| MACD | 7.9 |
| OBV | 10.0 |
| MA position | 6.0 |
| Volume | 0.0 |
- ▸Volume accumulation (rising OBV)
- ▸Below 200-MA, MA slope -2.8%/30d — confirmed downtrend
Sentiment
6.0/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| LLM sentiment | 7.5 |
| Analyst rating | 5.0 |
| Price target | 5.6 |
- ▸LLM news sentiment: +0.50 (n=1)
Insider
5.0/10data confidence 50%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| materiality | 5.0 |
| holder change | 5.0 |
- ▸No net insider activity — $0 (0.000% of mkt cap)
Peer rank
5.9/10data confidence 80%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| value rank | 9.3 |
| quality rank | 4.8 |
| growth rank | 4.4 |
Technical
4.2/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| bollinger | 2.9 |
| support resistance | 2.6 |
| 52w position | 6.2 |
| gap | 5.0 |
Risk (lower is worse)
6.9/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| short interest | 9.9 |
| days to cover | 9.1 |
| volatility | 6.7 |
| put call | 2.0 |
| implied vol | 5.9 |
| max pain risk | 7.0 |
| beta | 10.0 |
| debt equity | 4.7 |
- ▸Elevated put/call: 1.70
Catalyst
3.8/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| erm | 6.5 |
| earnings history | 0.0 |
| earnings timing | 5.0 |
| surprise avg | 0.0 |
| dividend safety | 6.5 |
| news activity | 5.0 |
- ▸Earnings concerns: 0B/4M
- ▸Dividend: 503.0%
How the verdict was assembled
Engine trigger
Quality below minimum threshold.
Engine technical detail
verdict_path:
L1:HARD_BLOCKPassed (7)
- MOMENTUM:5.5>=4.5
- INSIDER:OK
- 8K:CLEAN
- NEWS_EVENTS:NONE_RECENT
- EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:59d clear
- SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
- MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (1)
- ASYMMETRY:-0.9=NEGATIVE
Warning (2)
- MOMENTUM:5.5<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)
- DEATH_CROSS:momentum=5.5>=5.0 recovering
Reward-to-Risk
-0.93
Upside
-11.4%
Downside
12.2%
Sizing output
AVOID
SetupRECOVERY — Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 65
EdgeNO_EDGE — No clear edge identified
SuitabilityMODERATE — Balanced profile
Investment implication
The L1 gate blocked the positive-verdict path: a hard-floor threshold was breached, so dimensional pillars — including Value at 7.8 could not lift the engine output above the verdict floor. Failed gate signal: ASYMMETRY:-0.9=NEGATIVE.
The strongest dimensions are Value at 7.8, Risk (lower is worse) at 6.9, and Sentiment at 6.0; the weakest are Quality at 1.4, Catalyst at 3.8, and Technical at 4.2. The V9 engine flagged 1 failed gate with 2 warnings, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of -0.93 and an engine sizing output of AVOID.