Value
4.4/10data confidence 67%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| P/S | 7.7 |
| EV/EBITDA | 3.1 |
| p ocf | 8.9 |
| Analyst target | 3.0 |
- ▸P/OCF: 8.3x (FFO proxy — REITs gated off P/E)
HIW · Why this verdict
Why Highwoods Properties (HIW) is rated SELL
Updated
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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VerdictSELL
Overall score4.9/10
ConfidenceHIGH
MacroRISK_OFF
Per-dimension breakdown
Quality
6.6/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| ROE | 1.3 |
| ROA | 1.4 |
| Gross margin | 9.5 |
| Op margin | 10.0 |
| Net margin | 5.7 |
| Current ratio | 5.7 |
| FCF quality | 10.0 |
| Moat | 5.8 |
| Rule of 40 | 8.4 |
| Piotroski F | 7.8 |
- ▸Excellent cash conversion: 383% FCF/NI
- ▸Rule of 40: 51 (pass)
- ▸Strong Piotroski F-Score: 7/9
Growth
2.2/10data confidence 67%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Rev growth | 4.4 |
| EPS growth | 0.0 |
Momentum
7.2/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| RSI | 3.9 |
| MACD | 9.6 |
| OBV | 10.0 |
| MA position | 7.5 |
| Volume | 5.0 |
- ▸Overbought (RSI 83)
- ▸Volume accumulation (rising OBV)
- ▸Above 200-MA but MA slope flat/negative + RSI 83 (late-cycle distribution risk)
Sentiment
4.5/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Analyst rating | 5.0 |
| Price target | 3.6 |
| erm sentiment | 5.0 |
Insider
5.0/10data confidence 50%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| materiality | 5.0 |
| holder change | 5.1 |
- ▸No net insider activity — $0 (0.000% of mkt cap)
Peer rank
5.8/10data confidence 80%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| value rank | 2.7 |
| quality rank | 6.8 |
| growth rank | 8.6 |
- ▸Industry growth leader
Technical
3.1/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| bollinger | 0.0 |
| support resistance | 0.7 |
| 52w position | 8.5 |
Risk (lower is worse)
6.2/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| short interest | 5.1 |
| days to cover | 5.9 |
| volatility | 6.5 |
| put call | 7.5 |
| implied vol | 7.9 |
| beta | 6.6 |
| debt equity | 4.2 |
- ▸Concentration risks: 1 HIGH (10-K Item 1A — sized via position_sizing, validated via buy_confidence)
Catalyst
4.6/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| erm | 5.0 |
| earnings history | 5.6 |
| earnings timing | 5.0 |
| surprise avg | 3.3 |
| dividend safety | 4.2 |
- ▸Yield trap warning: high yield but unsafe
How the verdict was assembled
Engine trigger
Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position.
Engine technical detail
verdict_path:
L4:PATH_F_SELLPassed (7)
- MOMENTUM:7.2>=5.5
- INSIDER:OK
- 8K:CLEAN
- NEWS_EVENTS:NONE_RECENT
- EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:50d clear
- SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
- MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (1)
- ASYMMETRY:-1.5=NEGATIVE
Warning (1)
- DEATH_CROSS:momentum=7.2>=5.0 recovering
Reward-to-Risk
-1.54
Upside
-21.3%
Downside
13.8%
Sizing output
AVOID
SetupRECOVERY — Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 83
EdgeNO_EDGE — No clear edge identified
SuitabilityAGGRESSIVE — MCap $3.1B<$5B
Investment implication
The F-path SELL output reflects an overall score of 3.2 below the 5.6 soft trigger — multiple weakening dimensions accumulated rather than a single hard-floor breach. The strongest dimension ( Momentum at 7.2) was not enough to lift the adjusted overall above the threshold. Co-occurring failed gates ( ASYMMETRY:-1.5=NEGATIVE) reinforce the read. Current asymmetry R:R is -1.54 — supplementary context, not the trigger for this path.
The strongest dimensions are Momentum at 7.2, Quality at 6.6, and Risk (lower is worse) at 6.2; the weakest are Growth at 2.2, Technical at 3.1, and Value at 4.4. The V9 engine flagged 1 failed gate with 1 warning, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of -1.54 and an engine sizing output of AVOID.