Value
5.6/10data confidence 67%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| P/S | 8.5 |
| Fwd P/E | 3.9 |
| PEG | 4.3 |
| Analyst target | 3.0 |
- ▸Forward P/E: 30.5x
- ▸PEG: 2.15
HIMS · Why this verdict
Why Hims & Hers Health (HIMS) is rated SELL
Updated
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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VerdictSELL
Overall score4.2/10
ConfidenceMEDIUM
MacroNEUTRAL
Per-dimension breakdown
Quality
3.8/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| ROE | 0.0 |
| ROA | 0.4 |
| Gross margin | 10.0 |
| Op margin | 0.0 |
| Net margin | 0.0 |
| Current ratio | 6.1 |
| FCF quality | 4.5 |
| Moat | 4.6 |
| Rule of 40 | 3.0 |
| Piotroski F | 8.9 |
- ▸FCF-positive despite GAAP loss (FCF margin 7%, FCF yield 2.8%)
- ▸No competitive moat
- ▸Rule of 40: 11 (fail)
- ▸Strong Piotroski F-Score: 8/9
Growth
3.5/10data confidence 33%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Rev growth | 3.5 |
Momentum
6.6/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| RSI | 2.4 |
| MACD | 10.0 |
| OBV | 10.0 |
| MA position | 6.0 |
| Volume | 4.6 |
- ▸Overbought bear rally (RSI 79)
- ▸Volume accumulation (rising OBV)
- ▸Below 200-MA, MA slope -10.5%/30d — confirmed downtrend
Sentiment
4.9/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| LLM sentiment | 5.8 |
| Analyst rating | 5.0 |
| Price target | 3.8 |
Insider
4.1/10data confidence 75%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| materiality | 4.5 |
| insider conviction | 2.5 |
| holder change | 5.2 |
- ▸Modest insider selling — $4,300,612 (0.068% of mkt cap)
Peer rank
2.7/10data confidence 80%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| value rank | 4.3 |
| quality rank | 2.5 |
| growth rank | 4.1 |
Technical
0.5/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| bollinger | 0.4 |
| support resistance | 1.0 |
| 52w position | 0.0 |
Risk (lower is worse)
3.1/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| short interest | 0.2 |
| days to cover | 9.1 |
| volatility | 0.0 |
| put call | 7.6 |
| implied vol | 0.0 |
| beta | 2.0 |
| debt equity | 2.5 |
- ▸High short interest justified: 33%
- ▸High IV: 104%
Catalyst
4.6/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| erm | 6.5 |
| earnings history | 3.3 |
| earnings timing | 5.0 |
| surprise avg | 0.0 |
| news activity | 8.0 |
- ▸Earnings concerns: 2B/2M
How the verdict was assembled
Engine trigger
Quality below minimum threshold.
Engine technical detail
verdict_path:
L1:HARD_BLOCKPassed (7)
- MOMENTUM:6.6>=5.5
- INSIDER:OK
- 8K:CLEAN
- NEWS_EVENTS:NONE_RECENT
- EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:62d clear
- SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
- MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (1)
- ASYMMETRY:-1.3=NEGATIVE
Warning (1)
- DEATH_CROSS:momentum=6.6>=5.0 recovering
Reward-to-Risk
-1.34
Upside
-20.1%
Downside
15.0%
Sizing output
AVOID
SetupRECOVERY — Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 79
EdgeNO_EDGE — No clear edge identified
SuitabilityAGGRESSIVE — Beta 2.40>1.3
Investment implication
The L1 gate blocked the positive-verdict path: a hard-floor threshold was breached, so dimensional pillars — including Momentum at 6.6 could not lift the engine output above the verdict floor. Failed gate signal: ASYMMETRY:-1.3=NEGATIVE.
The strongest dimensions are Momentum at 6.6, Value at 5.6, and Sentiment at 4.9; the weakest are Technical at 0.5, Peer rank at 2.7, and Risk (lower is worse) at 3.1. The V9 engine flagged 1 failed gate with 1 warning, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of -1.34 and an engine sizing output of AVOID.