Value
5.7/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| P/E | 2.1 |
| P/S | 9.9 |
| EV/EBITDA | 7.6 |
| Fwd P/E | 9.1 |
| PEG | 3.2 |
| Analyst target | 3.0 |
- ▸Forward P/E: 11.6x
- ▸PEG: 3.85
GOOS · Why this verdict
Why Canada Goose Holdings Inc. Subo (GOOS) is rated HOLD
Updated
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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VerdictHOLD
Overall score4.8/10
ConfidenceMEDIUM
MacroNEUTRAL
Per-dimension breakdown
Quality
6.6/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| ROE | 1.6 |
| ROA | 3.7 |
| Gross margin | 9.9 |
| Op margin | 10.0 |
| Net margin | 0.7 |
| Current ratio | 8.9 |
| FCF quality | 10.0 |
| Moat | 6.4 |
| Rule of 40 | 5.5 |
| Piotroski F | 8.9 |
- ▸Excellent cash conversion: 857% FCF/NI
- ▸Strong Piotroski F-Score: 8/9
Growth
4.8/10data confidence 67%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Rev growth | 7.0 |
| EPS growth | 2.6 |
Momentum
2.6/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| RSI | 4.5 |
| MACD | 6.7 |
| OBV | 1.0 |
| MA position | 1.0 |
| Volume | 0.0 |
- ▸Volume distribution (falling OBV)
- ▸Below 200-MA, MA slope -2.5%/30d — confirmed downtrend
Sentiment
5.0/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Analyst rating | 5.0 |
| Price target | 4.5 |
| erm sentiment | 5.7 |
Insider
5.0/10data confidence 50%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| materiality | 5.0 |
| holder change | 5.0 |
- ▸No net insider activity — $0 (0.000% of mkt cap)
Peer rank
4.2/10data confidence 80%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| value rank | 2.7 |
| quality rank | 2.0 |
| growth rank | 6.9 |
Technical
5.5/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| bollinger | 5.8 |
| support resistance | 7.9 |
| 52w position | 2.7 |
Risk (lower is worse)
3.7/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| short interest | 5.6 |
| days to cover | 3.1 |
| volatility | 3.9 |
| put call | 3.3 |
| implied vol | 2.2 |
| max pain risk | 3.0 |
| beta | 4.1 |
| debt equity | 4.5 |
- ▸High IV: 67%
- ▸Above max pain $2
Catalyst
2.5/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| erm | 5.0 |
| earnings history | 0.0 |
| earnings timing | 5.0 |
| surprise avg | 0.0 |
- ▸Earnings concerns: 0B/4M
How the verdict was assembled
Engine trigger
Market cap $0.95B below $1B minimum. Not in investable universe.
Engine technical detail
verdict_path:
L1:HARD_BLOCKPassed (6)
- INSIDER:OK
- 8K:CLEAN
- NEWS_EVENTS:NONE_RECENT
- EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:59d clear
- SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
- MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (3)
- MOMENTUM:2.6<4.5
- ASYMMETRY:-2.3=NEGATIVE
- DEATH_CROSS:HARD_BLOCK
Warning (0)
none
Reward-to-Risk
-2.29
Upside
-15.9%
Downside
6.9%
Sizing output
AVOID
SetupRECOVERY — Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 58
EdgeNO_EDGE — No clear edge identified
SuitabilityAGGRESSIVE — Beta 1.78>1.3, MCap $1.0B<$5B
Investment implication
The L1 gate blocked the positive-verdict path: a hard-floor threshold was breached, so dimensional pillars — including Quality at 6.6 could not lift the engine output above the verdict floor. Failed gate signal: MOMENTUM:2.6<4.5.
The strongest dimensions are Quality at 6.6, Value at 5.7, and Technical at 5.5; the weakest are Catalyst at 2.5, Momentum at 2.6, and Risk (lower is worse) at 3.7. The V9 engine flagged 3 failed gates, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of -2.29 and an engine sizing output of AVOID.