Value
7.3/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| P/E | 8.1 |
| P/S | 8.9 |
| EV/EBITDA | 6.6 |
| Fwd P/E | 9.0 |
| PEG | 7.8 |
| Analyst target | 4.0 |
- ▸Forward P/E: 11.7x
- ▸PEG: 0.86
- ▸Attractively valued
GNTX · Why this verdict
Why Gentex (GNTX) is rated HOLD
Updated
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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VerdictHOLD
Overall score6.2/10
ConfidenceMEDIUM
MacroNEUTRAL
Per-dimension breakdown
Quality
6.7/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| ROE | 5.2 |
| ROA | 7.2 |
| Gross margin | 2.9 |
| Op margin | 7.5 |
| Net margin | 7.4 |
| Current ratio | 9.2 |
| FCF quality | 5.2 |
| Moat | 6.1 |
| Piotroski F | 10.0 |
- ▸Earnings quality warning: 68% FCF/NI
- ▸Strong Piotroski F-Score: 9/9
Growth
5.3/10data confidence 67%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Rev growth | 6.8 |
| EPS growth | 3.9 |
Momentum
6.9/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| RSI | 4.1 |
| MACD | 8.8 |
| OBV | 10.0 |
| MA position | 7.5 |
| Volume | 4.2 |
- ▸Overbought (RSI 78)
- ▸Volume accumulation (rising OBV)
- ▸Above 200-MA but MA slope flat/negative + RSI 78 (late-cycle distribution risk)
Sentiment
5.6/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Analyst rating | 5.0 |
| Price target | 6.9 |
| erm sentiment | 5.0 |
Insider
5.0/10data confidence 50%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| materiality | 5.0 |
| holder change | 5.1 |
- ▸Insider selling (low materiality) — $631,483 (0.011% of mkt cap)
Peer rank
7.4/10data confidence 80%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| value rank | 5.4 |
| quality rank | 8.1 |
| growth rank | 7.6 |
- ▸Attractive P/E vs peers
- ▸Best-in-class margins
Technical
2.9/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| bollinger | 0.5 |
| support resistance | 0.2 |
| 52w position | 7.9 |
Risk (lower is worse)
6.0/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| short interest | 6.9 |
| days to cover | 3.8 |
| volatility | 7.0 |
| put call | 6.4 |
| implied vol | 0.0 |
| max pain risk | 7.0 |
| beta | 8.3 |
| debt equity | 8.3 |
- ▸High IV: 83%
- ▸Concentration risks: 2 HIGH (10-K Item 1A — sized via position_sizing, validated via buy_confidence)
Catalyst
6.5/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| erm | 5.0 |
| earnings history | 10.0 |
| earnings timing | 5.0 |
| surprise avg | 6.0 |
| dividend safety | 6.5 |
- ▸Strong earnings: 3B/0M
- ▸Dividend: 186.0%
How the verdict was assembled
Engine trigger
Maintain position. Not compelling to add more.
Engine technical detail
verdict_path:
L4:PATH_F_HOLDPassed (7)
- MOMENTUM:6.9>=5.5
- INSIDER:OK
- 8K:CLEAN
- NEWS_EVENTS:NONE_RECENT
- EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:40d clear
- SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
- MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (1)
- ASYMMETRY:-0.1=NEGATIVE
Warning (1)
- DEATH_CROSS:momentum=6.9>=5.0 recovering
Reward-to-Risk
-0.09
Upside
-1.3%
Downside
13.9%
Sizing output
AVOID
SetupRECOVERY — Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 78
EdgeNO_EDGE — No clear edge identified
SuitabilityMODERATE — Balanced profile
Investment implication
None of the engine's positive-conviction paths (C-quality, D-momentum) triggered — the F-path HOLD reflects balanced signals. Strongest-cleared gate: MOMENTUM:6.9>=5.5. Top dim: Peer rank at 7.4; weakest: Technical at 2.9. No conviction either direction.
The strongest dimensions are Peer rank at 7.4, Value at 7.3, and Momentum at 6.9; the weakest are Technical at 2.9, Insider at 5.0, and Growth at 5.3. The V9 engine flagged 1 failed gate with 1 warning, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of -0.09 and an engine sizing output of AVOID.