Graco (GGG) Q3 2026 earnings — TrendMatrix coverage
Reported
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Full disclosure · Editorial policy
Key numbers
- Adjusted EPS
- $0.81
- Estimate
- $0.84
- Surprise
- -3.1%
- Revenue (period 2026-09-25)
- $586.4M
- Score at report (before → after)
- 5.8 → 5.8/10
Revenue source: xbrl.
How the report landed
Graco (GGG) missed the $0.84 estimate with adjusted EPS of $0.81 — a clear 3.1% shortfall. TrendMatrix's engine moved from Buy (Wait) (5.8/10) to Sell at 5.8/10 after the report.
Where TrendMatrix's rating stands now
TrendMatrix currently rates GGG Sell at 5.4/10.
2 of the last 4 quarters beat the estimate; this quarter's -3.1% surprise compares with a -0.2% four-quarter average. Next scheduled report: 2027-01-27.
What supports the rating
- V7 flight-to-quality bonus: +0.5 (Q=8.0 in RISK_OFF)
- High-quality business
What argues against it
- Concentration risk — Geographic: Americas (60.0%)
- Concentration risk — Supplier: single suppliers
- Thin upside margin: 6.5%
This section and the ones below it reflect TrendMatrix’s latest engine read — they update after the report date and are not frozen to it.
The levels TrendMatrix's engine tracks
- Current price
- $68.02
- Price target
- $72.46
- Stop
- $63.98
- Upside to target
- +6.5%
- Reward-to-risk
- 0.9:1
At 22.2× trailing and 19.9× forward earnings, consensus estimates imply little change in earnings power.
Risk check: RSI 28 — a level conventionally read as oversold.
Model outputs from TrendMatrix’s engine as of 2026-10-30 — shown for context, not personalized investment advice.
GGG at TrendMatrix's latest read
Industrial quarters are order-book stories — backlog and book-to-bill color how the market reads the reported number.
- Industry
- Specialty Industrial Machinery
- Market cap
- $11.03B
- P/E (fwd)
- 19.9
- P/E (ttm)
- 22.2
- 52-week range
- $65.96–$95.69
- Off 52-week high
- 28.9%
- RSI (14)
- 28
- Volume vs avg
- 0.04×
- Score today
- 5.4/10