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GDSGDS Holdings LimitedHold6.3·$32.80-2.84%
GDS · Why this verdict

Why GDS Holdings (GDS) is rated HOLD

Updated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

VerdictHOLD
Overall score6.3/10
ConfidenceMEDIUM
MacroNEUTRAL

Per-dimension breakdown

Value

7.9/10data confidence 83%
ComponentSub-score
P/E6.8
P/S10.0
EV/EBITDA7.2
PEG6.7
Analyst target9.0
  • PEG: 1.09
  • Attractively valued

Quality

5.0/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
ROE3.3
ROA1.1
Gross margin1.1
Op margin10.0
Net margin10.0
Current ratio6.6
FCF quality0.0
Moat4.9
Piotroski F7.8
  • Strong margins: 23%
  • Earnings quality RED FLAG: -170% FCF/NI
  • No competitive moat
  • Strong Piotroski F-Score: 7/9

Growth

9.2/10data confidence 67%
ComponentSub-score
Rev growth8.4
EPS growth10.0
  • Strong growth: 24% YoY

Momentum

3.9/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
RSI4.5
MACD2.0
OBV10.0
MA position2.2
Volume0.7
  • Volume accumulation (rising OBV)
  • Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+1.4%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness

Sentiment

8.2/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
Analyst rating8.9
Price target9.8
erm sentiment5.2
  • Analyst upside: 64%

Insider

3.8/10data confidence 75%
ComponentSub-score
materiality4.5
insider conviction2.0
holder change5.0
  • Modest insider selling — $1,706,625 (0.026% of mkt cap)

Peer rank

5.0/10data confidence 80%
ComponentSub-score
value rank5.1
quality rank6.5
growth rank8.5
  • Best-in-class margins
  • Industry growth leader

Technical

7.1/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
bollinger8.1
support resistance9.7
52w position3.4

Risk (lower is worse)

4.6/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
short interest5.6
days to cover6.8
volatility0.0
put call5.8
implied vol0.0
beta10.0
debt equity4.1
  • High IV: 88%

Catalyst

6.7/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
erm5.0
earnings history6.7
earnings timing5.0
surprise avg10.0
  • Strong earnings: 3B/1M

How the verdict was assembled

Engine trigger

Mixed signals. Hold existing position.

Engine technical detail
verdict_path: L4:PATH_F_HOLD_DEFAULT
Passed (7)
  • ASYMMETRY:3.8>=1.5
  • INSIDER:OK
  • 8K:CLEAN
  • NEWS_EVENTS:NONE_RECENT
  • EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:66d clear
  • SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
  • MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (1)
  • MOMENTUM:3.9<4.5
Warning (0)

none

Reward-to-Risk
3.76
Upside
+48.0%
Downside
12.8%
Sizing output
AVOID

SetupUNKNOWN No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed

EdgeNO_EDGE No clear edge identified

SuitabilityMODERATE Balanced profile

Investment implication

The default F-path HOLD fired without any positive-conviction gate triggering — no momentum acceleration, no quality+value crossover, no setup recognition. Highest-clear gate: ASYMMETRY:3.8>=1.5. Top dim: Growth at 9.2; weakest: Insider at 3.8. The engine's read is one of pattern absence — no directional conviction in either direction at current asymmetry.

The strongest dimensions are Growth at 9.2, Sentiment at 8.2, and Value at 7.9; the weakest are Insider at 3.8, Momentum at 3.9, and Risk (lower is worse) at 4.6. The V9 engine flagged 1 failed gate, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of 3.76 and an engine sizing output of AVOID.

Engine reasoning is mechanically derived from pipeline gate outputs. See decision view.

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