Value
6.0/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| P/E | 7.0 |
| P/S | 8.1 |
| EV/EBITDA | 1.7 |
| Fwd P/E | 7.9 |
| PEG | 4.9 |
| Analyst target | 6.0 |
- ▸Forward P/E: 15.3x
- ▸PEG: 1.65
GATX · Why this verdict
Why GATX (GATX) is rated SELL
Updated
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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VerdictSELL
Overall score6.0/10
ConfidenceHIGH
MacroRISK_OFF
Per-dimension breakdown
Quality
6.2/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| ROE | 3.6 |
| ROA | 1.6 |
| Gross margin | 10.0 |
| Op margin | 10.0 |
| Net margin | 8.9 |
| Current ratio | 9.9 |
| FCF quality | 0.0 |
| Moat | 6.4 |
| Rule of 40 | 3.0 |
| Piotroski F | 8.9 |
- ▸Strong margins: 18%
- ▸Earnings quality RED FLAG: -1477% FCF/NI
- ▸Rule of 40: -226 (fail)
- ▸Strong Piotroski F-Score: 8/9
Growth
7.0/10data confidence 67%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Rev growth | 10.0 |
| EPS growth | 3.9 |
- ▸Strong growth: 38% YoY
Momentum
5.6/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| RSI | 4.5 |
| MACD | 10.0 |
| OBV | 10.0 |
| MA position | 2.2 |
| Volume | 1.5 |
- ▸Volume accumulation (rising OBV)
- ▸Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+2.4%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness
Sentiment
6.1/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Analyst rating | 5.0 |
| Price target | 8.4 |
| erm sentiment | 5.0 |
- ▸Analyst upside: 27%
Insider
5.0/10data confidence 50%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| materiality | 5.0 |
| holder change | 5.1 |
- ▸No net insider activity — $0 (0.000% of mkt cap)
Peer rank
6.0/10data confidence 80%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| value rank | 3.0 |
| quality rank | 6.5 |
| growth rank | 9.4 |
- ▸Best-in-class margins
- ▸Industry growth leader
Technical
6.6/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| bollinger | 5.9 |
| support resistance | 7.3 |
| 52w position | 6.6 |
Risk (lower is worse)
5.6/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| short interest | 7.8 |
| days to cover | 6.5 |
| volatility | 6.5 |
| put call | 6.3 |
| implied vol | 4.7 |
| beta | 6.2 |
| debt equity | 1.5 |
- ▸Concentration risks: 1 HIGH, 1 MED (10-K Item 1A — sized via position_sizing, validated via buy_confidence)
Catalyst
4.8/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| erm | 5.0 |
| earnings history | 6.7 |
| earnings timing | 5.0 |
| surprise avg | 2.1 |
| dividend safety | 5.2 |
- ▸Strong earnings: 3B/1M
- ▸Dividend: 154.0%
How the verdict was assembled
Engine trigger
Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position.
Engine technical detail
verdict_path:
L4:PATH_F_SELLPassed (7)
- MOMENTUM:5.6>=5.5
- ASYMMETRY:1.7>=1.5
- INSIDER:OK
- NEWS_EVENTS:NONE_RECENT
- EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:50d clear
- SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
- MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (0)
none
Warning (1)
- 8K_CSUITE_CHANGE:5.02 (officer departure/appointment)
Reward-to-Risk
1.66
Upside
+8.3%
Downside
5.0%
Sizing output
AVOID
SetupRANGE_BOUND — RSI 47 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band
EdgeNO_EDGE — No clear edge identified
SuitabilityMODERATE — Balanced profile
Investment implication
The F-path SELL output reflects an overall score of 3.8 below the 5.6 soft trigger — multiple weakening dimensions accumulated rather than a single hard-floor breach. The strongest dimension ( Growth at 7.0) was not enough to lift the adjusted overall above the threshold. Current asymmetry R:R is 1.66 — supplementary context, not the trigger for this path.
The strongest dimensions are Growth at 7.0, Technical at 6.6, and Quality at 6.2; the weakest are Catalyst at 4.8, Insider at 5.0, and Risk (lower is worse) at 5.6. The V9 engine cleared all gates with 1 warning, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of 1.66 and an engine sizing output of AVOID.