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FRPTFreshpet, Inc.Hold5.6·$63.64-2.35%

Freshpet (FRPT) Q2 2026 earnings — TrendMatrix coverage

BEAT+30.3% vs estimateEPS $0.29 vs $0.22 estVerdict Buy (Wait)Hold

Reported

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Full disclosure

Event detail · Q2 2026

Key numbers

Reported EPS
$0.29
Estimate
$0.22
Surprise
+30.3%
Revenue (period 2026-06-30)
$305.6M
Score at report (before → after)
5.75.9/10

Revenue source: xbrl.

Report record · Q2 2026

How the report landed

Freshpet (FRPT) beat the $0.22 estimate with diluted EPS of $0.29 — a large 30.3% upside surprise. TrendMatrix's engine moved from Buy (Wait) (5.7/10) to Hold at 5.9/10 after the report.

Current read · as of 2026-09-14

Where TrendMatrix's rating stands now

TrendMatrix currently rates FRPT Hold at 5.6/10.

4 of the last 4 quarters beat the estimate; this quarter's +30.3% surprise compares with a +126.4% four-quarter average. Next scheduled report: 2026-11-02.

What supports the rating

  • Sector modifier (Consumer Defensive): +0.8
  • Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)

What argues against it

  • Concentration risk — Customer: top ten customers (68.0%)
  • Cyclical risk: PE expanding 2.0x (earnings normalizing)
  • V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.4)

This section and the ones below it reflect TrendMatrix’s latest engine read — they update after the report date and are not frozen to it.

Current engine read

The levels TrendMatrix's engine tracks

Current price
$63.64
Price target
$75.83
Stop
$61.47
Upside to target
+19.2%
Reward-to-risk
2.3:1

Forward estimates sit below the trailing run-rate (32.5× forward vs 16.5× trailing) — consensus expects earnings to decline from here.

Risk check: RSI 22 — a level conventionally read as oversold.

Model outputs from TrendMatrix’s engine as of 2026-09-14 — shown for context, not personalized investment advice.

Consumer Defensive context

FRPT at TrendMatrix's latest read

Defensive staples are judged on margin resilience: pricing power against input costs matters more here than top-line drama.

Industry
Packaged Foods
Market cap
$3.06B
P/E (fwd)
32.5
P/E (ttm)
16.5
52-week range
$46.45$86.00
Off 52-week high
26.0%
RSI (14)
22
Volume vs avg
0.99×
Score today
5.6/10

Earnings figures are sourced from TrendMatrix’s pipeline (EPS: existing earnings extraction; revenue: SEC XBRL company facts where available, yfinance-provisional otherwise). Not a buy/sell rating, a price target, or investment advice — see the current verdict on the stock’s main page for TrendMatrix’s live read.

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