Freshpet (FRPT) Q2 2026 earnings — TrendMatrix coverage
Reported
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Full disclosure · Editorial policy
Key numbers
- Adjusted EPS
- $0.29
- Estimate
- $0.22
- Surprise
- +30.3%
- Revenue (period 2026-06-30)
- $305.6M
- Score at report (before → after)
- 5.7 → 5.9/10
Revenue source: xbrl.
How the report landed
Freshpet (FRPT) beat the $0.22 estimate with adjusted EPS of $0.29 — a large 30.3% upside surprise. TrendMatrix's engine moved from Buy (Wait) (5.7/10) to Hold at 5.9/10 after the report.
Where TrendMatrix's rating stands now
TrendMatrix currently rates FRPT Sell at 5.6/10.
4 of the last 4 quarters beat the estimate; this quarter's +30.3% surprise compares with a +126.4% four-quarter average. Next scheduled report: 2026-11-04.
What argues against it
- Concentration risk — Customer: top ten customers (68.0%)
- Risk below floor (4.0 < 4.0)
- Reward/Risk 1.2:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum
This section and the ones below it reflect TrendMatrix’s latest engine read — they update after the report date and are not frozen to it.
The levels TrendMatrix's engine tracks
- Current price
- $65.06
- Price target
- $74.87
- Stop
- $60.51
- Upside to target
- +15.1%
- Reward-to-risk
- 1.2:1
Forward estimates sit below the trailing run-rate (33.5× forward vs 17.2× trailing) — consensus expects earnings to decline from here.
Model outputs from TrendMatrix’s engine as of 2026-10-29 — shown for context, not personalized investment advice.
FRPT at TrendMatrix's latest read
Defensive staples are judged on margin resilience: pricing power against input costs matters more here than top-line drama.
- Industry
- Packaged Foods
- Market cap
- $3.13B
- P/E (fwd)
- 33.5
- P/E (ttm)
- 17.2
- 52-week range
- $46.45–$86.00
- Off 52-week high
- 24.3%
- RSI (14)
- 50
- Volume vs avg
- 0.65×
- Score today
- 5.6/10