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FNFabrinetHold5.9·$637.09+4.27%
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Fabrinet (FN) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Technology · Electronic Components

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $637.09, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Negative momentum.

Fabrinet provides precision optical packaging and electro-mechanical manufacturing for OEMs of optical communication components, industrial lasers, automotive sensors, and medical devices, primarily from ~3.3M sq ft of facilities in Thailand. Revenue of $3.42B in fiscal 2025... Read more

$637.09+2.5% A.UpsideScore 5.9/10#6 of 24 Electronic Components
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield-0.36%
Stop $591.36Target $651.73(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.2:1
Analyst target$749.11+17.6%9 analysts
$651.73our TP
$637.09price
$749.11mean
$850

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $637.09, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Negative momentum. Chart setup: RSI 44 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 63d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Aug 17, 202663d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Strong growth profile
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)52.4
P/E (Fwd)35.4
Mkt Cap$21.9B
EV/EBITDA43.7
Profit Mgn9.9%
ROE20.0%
Rev Growth39.3%
Beta1.17
DividendNone
Rating analysts19

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.25bearish
IV105%elevated
Max Pain$420-34.1% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.0
Ma Position
4.0
Rsi
5.5
Obv
10.0
Volume accumulation (rising OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 3.9<4.5A.R:R 0.2 < 1.5@spotInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 63d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
44 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $550.03Resistance $732.63

Price Targets

$591
$652
A.Upside+2.3%
A.R:R0.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (2.5% upside)
! momentum at 3.9 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! asymmetry at 0.2 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-17 (63d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is FN stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $637.09, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Negative momentum. Chart setup: RSI 44 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. Target $651.73 (+2.3%), stop $591.36 (−7.7%), A.R:R 0.2:1. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the FN stock price target?

Take-profit target: $651.73 (+2.5% upside). Target $651.73 (+2.3%), stop $591.36 (−7.7%), A.R:R 0.2:1. Stop-loss: $591.36.

What are the risks of investing in FN?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Negative momentum.

Is FN overvalued or undervalued?

Fabrinet trades at a P/E of 52.4 (forward 35.4). TrendMatrix value score: 4.6/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about FN?

19 analysts cover FN with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $749.

What does Fabrinet do?Fabrinet provides precision optical packaging and electro-mechanical manufacturing for OEMs of optical communication...

Fabrinet provides precision optical packaging and electro-mechanical manufacturing for OEMs of optical communication components, industrial lasers, automotive sensors, and medical devices, primarily from ~3.3M sq ft of facilities in Thailand. Revenue of $3.42B in fiscal 2025 grew 18.6% year-over-year, with 76.6% derived from optical communications customers.

Related stocks: CLS (Celestica, Inc.) · TEL (TE Connectivity plc) · APH (Amphenol Corporation) · JBL (Jabil Inc.) · KN (Knowles Corporation)
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