Value
8.3/10data confidence 83%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| P/S | 9.6 |
| EV/EBITDA | 3.7 |
| Fwd P/E | 9.1 |
| PEG | 10.0 |
| Analyst target | 9.0 |
- ▸Forward P/E: 11.3x
- ▸PEG: 0.19
- ▸Attractively valued
FLUT · Why this verdict
Why Flutter Entertainment (FLUT) is rated SELL
Updated
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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VerdictSELL
Overall score5.2/10
ConfidenceMEDIUM
MacroNEUTRAL
Per-dimension breakdown
Quality
2.3/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| ROE | 0.0 |
| ROA | 0.8 |
| Gross margin | 4.8 |
| Op margin | 0.9 |
| Net margin | 0.0 |
| Current ratio | 3.6 |
| FCF quality | 0.0 |
| Moat | 5.0 |
| Piotroski F | 5.6 |
- ▸Cash-burning: FCF -5% of revenue
- ▸No competitive moat
- ▸Quality concerns
Growth
3.5/10data confidence 67%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Rev growth | 6.9 |
| EPS growth | 0.0 |
Momentum
4.8/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| RSI | 3.4 |
| MACD | 10.0 |
| OBV | 1.0 |
| MA position | 6.0 |
| Volume | 3.5 |
- ▸Volume distribution (falling OBV)
- ▸Below 200-MA, MA slope -14.1%/30d — confirmed downtrend
Sentiment
7.5/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| LLM sentiment | 5.7 |
| Analyst rating | 7.5 |
| Price target | 9.6 |
- ▸Analyst upside: 55%
Insider
8.1/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| materiality | 9.0 |
| insider conviction | 6.5 |
| holder change | 10.0 |
| notable moves | 7.0 |
- ▸Heavy insider buying — $1,412,959,011 (8.109% of mkt cap)
- ▸Institutions accumulating
Peer rank
4.2/10data confidence 80%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| value rank | 6.7 |
| quality rank | 0.0 |
| growth rank | 5.0 |
Technical
1.7/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| bollinger | 0.0 |
| support resistance | 0.8 |
| 52w position | 0.0 |
| gap | 6.0 |
Risk (lower is worse)
5.4/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| short interest | 5.8 |
| days to cover | 7.2 |
| volatility | 2.7 |
| put call | 8.9 |
| implied vol | 2.2 |
| beta | 6.6 |
| debt equity | 4.4 |
- ▸High IV: 67%
Catalyst
6.1/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| erm | 5.0 |
| earnings history | 3.3 |
| earnings timing | 5.0 |
| surprise avg | 10.0 |
| news activity | 7.0 |
- ▸Earnings concerns: 2B/2M
How the verdict was assembled
Engine trigger
Quality below minimum threshold.
Engine technical detail
verdict_path:
L1:HARD_BLOCKPassed (6)
- MOMENTUM:4.8>=4.5
- ASYMMETRY:3.1>=1.5
- 8K:CLEAN
- EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:59d clear
- SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
- MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (2)
- INSIDER:8.11%=EXTREME
- DEATH_CROSS:HARD_BLOCK
Warning (1)
- MOMENTUM:4.8<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)
Reward-to-Risk
3.09
Upside
+39.5%
Downside
12.8%
Sizing output
AVOID
SetupRECOVERY — Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 66
EdgeNO_EDGE — No clear edge identified
SuitabilityMODERATE — Balanced profile
Investment implication
The L1 gate blocked the positive-verdict path: a hard-floor threshold was breached, so dimensional pillars — including Value at 8.3 could not lift the engine output above the verdict floor. Failed gate signal: INSIDER:8.11%=EXTREME.
The strongest dimensions are Value at 8.3, Insider at 8.1, and Sentiment at 7.5; the weakest are Technical at 1.7, Quality at 2.3, and Growth at 3.5. The V9 engine flagged 2 failed gates with 1 warning, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of 3.09 and an engine sizing output of AVOID.