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FLNGFLEX LNG Ltd.Sell4.2·$29.74-0.10%
FLNG · Why this verdict

Why FLEX LNG (FLNG) is rated SELL

Updated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

VerdictSELL
Overall score4.2/10
ConfidenceMEDIUM
MacroRISK_OFF

Per-dimension breakdown

Value

5.2/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
P/E6.1
P/S7.1
EV/EBITDA3.9
Fwd P/E8.3
PEG3.4
Analyst target3.0
  • Forward P/E: 14.1x
  • PEG: 3.54

Quality

7.0/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
ROE3.4
ROA2.6
Gross margin10.0
Op margin10.0
Net margin10.0
Current ratio9.2
FCF quality9.4
Moat4.6
Rule of 403.0
Piotroski F7.8
  • Strong margins: 22%
  • Excellent cash conversion: 133% FCF/NI
  • No competitive moat
  • Rule of 40: 21 (fail)

Growth

1.5/10data confidence 67%
ComponentSub-score
Rev growth0.3
EPS growth2.8
  • Declining revenue: -9%

Momentum

3.1/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
RSI8.3
MACD0.0
OBV1.0
MA position4.0
Volume2.4
  • Oversold in uptrend (RSI 26)
  • Volume distribution (falling OBV)
  • Above 200-day MA

Sentiment

2.9/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
Analyst rating5.0
Price target2.8
erm sentiment0.0
  • Below analyst target
  • Estimates falling as sentiment proxy (-14.3%)

Insider

5.0/10data confidence 50%

Peer rank

3.0/10data confidence 80%
ComponentSub-score
value rank2.4
quality rank3.8
growth rank0.7

Technical

8.3/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
bollinger8.2
support resistance8.5
52w position8.2

Risk (lower is worse)

5.0/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
short interest2.7
days to cover0.0
volatility7.1
put call10.0
implied vol4.8
max pain risk3.0
beta10.0
debt equity2.4
  • Above max pain $20

Catalyst

2.0/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
erm1.0
earnings history0.0
earnings timing5.0
surprise avg0.0
dividend safety4.2
  • Estimates down -14.3% (30d)
  • Earnings concerns: 0B/3M
  • Yield trap warning: high yield but unsafe

How the verdict was assembled

Engine trigger

Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position.

Engine technical detail
verdict_path: L4:PATH_F_SELL
Passed (6)
  • INSIDER:OK
  • 8K:CLEAN
  • NEWS_EVENTS:NONE_RECENT
  • EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:80d clear
  • SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
  • MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (2)
  • MOMENTUM:3.1<4.5
  • ASYMMETRY:-5.4=NEGATIVE
Warning (0)

none

Reward-to-Risk
-5.40
Upside
-27.0%
Downside
5.0%
Sizing output
AVOID

SetupUNKNOWN No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed

EdgeCONTRARIAN Extreme pessimism (Sent=2.9) on decent quality (7.0)

SuitabilityAGGRESSIVE MCap $1.6B<$5B

Investment implication

The F-path SELL output reflects an overall score of 4.1 below the 5.6 soft trigger — multiple weakening dimensions accumulated rather than a single hard-floor breach. The strongest dimension ( Technical at 8.3) was not enough to lift the adjusted overall above the threshold. Co-occurring failed gates ( MOMENTUM:3.1<4.5, ASYMMETRY:-5.4=NEGATIVE) reinforce the read. Current asymmetry R:R is -5.40 — supplementary context, not the trigger for this path.

The strongest dimensions are Technical at 8.3, Quality at 7.0, and Value at 5.2; the weakest are Growth at 1.5, Catalyst at 2.0, and Sentiment at 2.9. The V9 engine flagged 2 failed gates, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of -5.40 and an engine sizing output of AVOID.

Engine reasoning is mechanically derived from pipeline gate outputs. See decision view.

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